Talos Energy Inc. (TALO) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.52M · 3-mo avg 2.56M

Talos Energy Inc. (TALO)

TALOTalos Energy Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 70/100 · was 45 on Nov 3 · Nov 60/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
$14.77
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$15.11
near a resistance level and the 200-day average · midpoint $15.11 · Nov 6
±$1.23
±8.3% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 13% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Elevated
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 13% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume39% below normal0.61× its 20-day average
Past year's range$9.35 – $18.76lowest to highest price
From its peak64.4% belowpeak $41.69, highest since 2018
Gain vs. risk0.15 to 1$0.15 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$13.05the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$17.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)31.5washed out
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit11.5× next yearloss over the last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastusual P/E 8.7×median of the last 5 years
Cash it generates34.5%of its market value, per year

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 1.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 42% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
31.5
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$17.10
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$15.01
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$17.35
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$14.77
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.18
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.61×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
7.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.86
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-24
in 73 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file