TransAlta Corporation (TAC) — Independent Power Producers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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TACpeers & supply-chain relationships

TAC fair-value estimate

TAC earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 703.3K · 3-mo avg 1.76M

TransAlta Corporation (TAC)

TACTransAlta Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 15/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$11.71
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-24 · price is 1.5% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$12–13
center $12.46 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.49×
52-week range$11.38 – $17.88
Below high since 2015-34.2% · $17.88 high
Risk / reward1.07 : 1
Plan stop$11.01
Max pain—
RSI 1442.6 fires under 35 · fires near $10.74
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple28.4× fwd · trailing not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield11.2% · of market value

Trading lighter than its own normal, price down 2.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 66% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
42.6
fires under 35 · fires near $10.74
vs 50-day
✓
$12.51
below the line
Bollinger
●
$11.52
no lower pierce · fires near $11.52
VWAP 20
✓
$12.04
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$11.71
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.01
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.49×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
5.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.35
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 30 sessions
Next dividend
1.73% yld
no ex-date on file