NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) — Independent Power Producers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 8.72M · 3-mo avg 3.16M

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG)

NRGNRG Energy, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 73/100 · was 0 on Nov 3 · Nov 61/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
$86.08
near the 52-week low and a support level · Nov 6
$89–91
near a heavy call-option level · midpoint $90.00 · Nov 6
±$11.99
±13.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume122% above normal2.22× its 20-day average
Past year's range$79.65 – $189.96lowest to highest price
From its peak53.5% belowpeak $189.96, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.14 to 1$0.14 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$76.12the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$95.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)40.5fires under 35 · fires near $84.47
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit8.4× next year23.1× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 66%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 17.9×
Cash it generates4.1%of its market value, per year

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 9.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 55% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
40.5
fires under 35 · fires near $84.47
vs 50-day
✓
$101.58
below the line
Bollinger
●
$83.04
no lower pierce · fires near $81.62
VWAP 20
✓
$93.05
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$86.08
level below · fires near $86.87
Put wall
✓
$90.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context●
-0.95
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
2.22×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
2.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.71
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-09
in 1 session
Next dividend
2.15% yld
no ex-date on file
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