Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) — Independent Power Producers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 5.57M · 3-mo avg 3.38M

Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG)

CEGConstellation Energy Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 6 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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$248.70
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$267–273
near a heavy call-option level, the options pressure point, a round-number price, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $269.54 · Nov 6
±$25.97
±10.4% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
High
87% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.3× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume50% above normal1.50× its 20-day average
Past year's range$228.63 – $380.78lowest to highest price
From its peak39.4% belowpeak $412.70, highest since 2022
Gain vs. risk0.77 to 1$0.77 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$224.67the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$267.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)43.2fires under 35 · fires near $235.17
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit18.7× next year24.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 19%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 29.8×
Cash it generates1.4%of its market value, per year

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price up 4.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 74% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
43.2
fires under 35 · fires near $235.17
vs 50-day
✓
$270.02
below the line
Bollinger
●
$235.39
no lower pierce · fires near $231.57
VWAP 20
✓
$260.88
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$248.70
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$247.50
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context●
-1.77
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.50×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
3.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$12.02
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-09
in 1 session
Next dividend
USD 0.43
ex-date 2026-11-16