American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) — $122.84 −1.55%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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AEPpeers & supply-chain relationships

AEP fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 4.63M · Avg 5.19M
AEPAmerican Electric Power Company, Inc.$122.84-1.55%

STRIKE.

The triggers line up — but a falling knife cuts the strike.

4 of 5 entry triggers are firing and an entry level is on file — on triggers alone this would read STRIKE. But the stock is still dropping hard on heavy volume with no support underneath, and a live slide overrides the triggers: setups look their most tempting halfway down. The cut stands until the selling settles.

QTick signal
-2net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
4 of 5 aligned — not yet
The triggers line up, but a falling knife cuts the strike — entry vetoed until the slide stabilizes.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.3× · n=38RiskFalling-knife phase · 82/100 · was 77 on Aug 60/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$122.23
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$124–126
center $124.76 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Elevated
~75% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.89× · 4.63M vs 5.19M avg
52-week range$105.70 – $140.58
Below high since 2015-12.6% · $140.58 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.4
Plan stop$116.21
Max pain
RSI 1431.4 washed out
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$122.84
$116.83 · -4.9%-4.9%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+4.9% · $128.85+4.9%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers4 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
31.4
washed out
vs 50-day
$130.23
below the line
Bollinger
$122.54
no lower pierce · fires near $122.43
VWAP 20
$129.20
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$122.23
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
-0.91
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.89×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
6.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.01
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
29 Oct 2026 · before the bell
bmo · in 79 days
Next dividend
3.09% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed