The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) — Agricultural Inputs. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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SMGpeers & supply-chain relationships

SMG fair-value estimate

SMG earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 999.6K · 3-mo avg 1.05M

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)

SMGThe Scotts Miracle-Gro Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+5net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$64.39
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 6
$74–75
near the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $74.53 · Nov 6
±$4.65
±7.2% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
96% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume16% below normal0.84× its 20-day average
Past year's range$47.90 – $75.34lowest to highest price
From its peak74.7% belowpeak $256.03, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.76 to 1$1.76 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$59.12the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$50.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)65.1fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit12.5× next year19.6× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 31%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 31.2×
Cash it generates7.3%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 30% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
65.1
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$55.68
above the line · fires near $56.01
Bollinger
●
$48.08
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
●
$59.68
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $59.62
Entry level
✓
$64.39
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.88
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.84×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
12.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.59
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-27
in 54 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.66
ex-date 2026-11-20