SM Energy Company (SM) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 11:45 AM ETVol 3.06M · 3-mo avg 3.94M

SM Energy Company (SM)

SMSM Energy Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 35/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$33.74
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$34–35
center $34.65 · basis · daily pivot + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.21× the norm · 96% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.72×
52-week range$17.45 – $41.56
Below high since 2015-44.9% · $61.54 high
Risk / reward0.22 : 1
Plan stop$30.50
Max pain—
RSI 1442.4 fires under 35 · fires near $31.01
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple4.3× fwd · 6.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past93rd pctile · 5.2× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 3.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 50% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
42.4
fires under 35 · fires near $31.01
vs 50-day
✓
$34.46
below the line
Bollinger
●
$33.35
no lower pierce · fires near $33.18
VWAP 20
✓
$37.15
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$33.74
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.66
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.72×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.62
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-02
in 26 sessions
Next dividend
2.60% yld
no ex-date on file