The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM) — Packaged Foods. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

SJMpeers & supply-chain relationships

SJM fair-value estimate

SJM earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 247.9K · 3-mo avg 1.42M

The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM)

SJMThe J. M. Smucker Companyloading…
loading…
QTick signal
+1net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
loading…
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$123.13
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$135–137
center $135.89 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$5.51
4.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.02× the norm · 68% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.83×
52-week range$88.25 – $135.89
Below high since 2015-23.2% · $161.19 high
Risk / reward2.29 : 1
Plan stop$117.57
Max pain$120.00 options cluster
RSI 1451.0 fires under 35 · fires near $113.42
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple57.6× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield8.8% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 34% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
51.0
fires under 35 · fires near $113.42
vs 50-day
$120.28
above the line · fires near $121.41
Bollinger
$118.27
no lower pierce · fires near $117.11
VWAP 20
$126.86
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$123.13
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$85.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.99
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.83×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.78
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-11-24
in 48 sessions
Next dividend
3.64% yld
no ex-date on file
Appears in