SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (SEDG) — $32.81 +1.88%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

SEDGpeers & supply-chain relationships

SEDG fair-value estimate

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 1.22M · Avg 3.27M
SEDGSolarEdge Technologies, Inc.$32.81+1.88%

WAIT.

A falling knife — never catch it mid-drop.

The stock is still dropping hard on heavy volume with no support underneath. 3 of 6 entry triggers may be firing, but a live slide overrides them — that is exactly the setup this check exists for. It does not call the bottom; it says the drop is not finished.

QTick signal
-6net
0 bull / 5 bear factors · moderate
Bull 1 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
3 of 6 aligned — closing in
A falling knife — the guard overrides the entry triggers.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileRiskFalling-knife phase · 100/1001/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$32.05
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$81–82
center $81.25 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.22
12.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 38% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
Elevated
~95% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 38% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs 20-day avg0.37× · 1.22M vs 3.27M avg
52-week range$23.01 – $81.25
Below high since 2015-92.0% · $403.28 high
Risk / reward1 : 9.5
Plan stop$26.90
Max pain$39.00 options cluster
RSI 1433.3 washed out
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$32.81
$26.25 · -20.0%-20.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+12.9% · $37.04+12.9%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
33.3
washed out
vs 50-day
$53.13
below the line
Bollinger
$29.31
no lower pierce · fires near $28.26
VWAP 20
$40.60
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$32.05
level below · fires near $32.36
Put wall
$30.00
OI strike below · fires near $30.15
MACD
-0.84
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.37×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
20.1%
20.1% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$4.31
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
4 Nov 2026
· in 84 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed