Sunrun Inc. (RUN) — Solar Energy Technology. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 7.34M · 3-mo avg 8.98M

Sunrun Inc. (RUN)

RUNSunrun Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 63/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$8.06
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$9.35
center $9.35 · basis · bb upper + sma 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.84
10.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.20× the norm · 95% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.96×
52-week range$7.75 – $22.44
Below high since 2015-92.3% · $105.74 high
Risk / reward1.29 : 1
Plan stop$7.15
Max pain$8.00 options cluster
RSI 1439.8 fires under 35 · fires near $7.82
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple8.0× fwd · 5.5× trailing
P/E vs its own past0th pctile · 25.7× median
Free cash flow yield-151.0% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 4.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 68% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
39.8
fires under 35 · fires near $7.82
vs 50-day
✓
$9.42
below the line
Bollinger
●
$7.94
no lower pierce · fires near $7.88
VWAP 20
✓
$8.57
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$8.06
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$8.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context✓
+0.01
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.96×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
32.3%
32.3% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$0.45
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
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