Sunrun Inc. (RUN) — $9.87 −3.24%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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RUN fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 9.45M · Avg 10.20M
RUNSunrun Inc.$9.87-3.24%Pre-market$9.96+0.91%

STRIKE.

The entry triggers have lined up — the pullback you set the alert for. This is your entry.

4 of 6 entry triggers are firing at once, clearing the 4-of-6 screen rule.

QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
Entry conditions met — this is the setup.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressPCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$9.82
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$12–13
center $12.36 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.75
7.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~95% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.2× base rate
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.93× · 9.45M vs 10.20M avg
52-week range$8.61 – $22.44
Below high since 2015-90.7% · $105.74 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.7
Plan stop$8.36
Max pain$6.00 options cluster
RSI 1440.3 fires under 35 · fires near $8.91
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$9.87
$7.90 · -20.0%-20.0%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+7.6% · $10.62+7.6%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
40.3
fires under 35 · fires near $8.91
vs 50-day
$12.27
below the line
Bollinger
$8.57
no lower pierce · fires near $8.25
VWAP 20
$10.56
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$9.82
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$11.00
below max put OI strike
MACD
+0.05
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.93×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
33.2%
33.2% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$0.73
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
5 Nov 2026
· in 85 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
Appears in
prices 15-min delayed