Sunrun Inc. (RUN) — Solar Energy Technology. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 14.44M · 3-mo avg 9.06M

Sunrun Inc. (RUN)

RUNSunrun Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$8.67
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 10
$21.95
near the 52-week high · midpoint $21.95 · Nov 10
±$1.31
±15.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume13% above normal1.13× its 20-day average
Past year's range$6.78 – $21.95lowest to highest price
From its peak91.8% belowpeak $105.74, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk9.21 to 1$9.21 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$7.27the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)54.3fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit4.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 21%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 23.7×
Cash it generates-138.6%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 10.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 35% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Drawdown risk — high
RSI 14
●
54.3
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$8.15
above the line · fires near $8.22
Bollinger
●
$6.23
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
●
$8.48
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $8.47
Entry level
✓
$8.67
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.31
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.13×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
32.6%
32.6% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$0.71
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-25
in 72 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
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