First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) — $242.13 +1.17%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

FSLRpeers & supply-chain relationships

FSLR fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 580.8K · Avg 2.41M
FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.$242.13+1.17%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+9net
4 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 10 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$238.13
basis · pivot low + s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$246–253
center $249.58 · basis · bb upper + daily pivot + round + vwap 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$22.81
9.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.24× · 580.8K vs 2.41M avg
52-week range$176.47 – $320.95
Below high since 2015-25.4% · $320.95 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.4
Plan stop$209.85
Max pain$225.00 options cluster
RSI 1456.7 fires under 35 · fires near $187.75
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$242.13
$186.71 · -22.9%-22.9%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+9.4% · $264.94+9.4%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
56.7
fires under 35 · fires near $187.75
vs 50-day
$242.27
at the line
Bollinger
$186.20
no lower pierce · fires below the slider range
VWAP 20
$224.60
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $224.47
Entry level
$238.13
level below · fires near $240.40
Put wall
$237.50
OI strike below · fires near $238.67
MACD
+5.94
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.24×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
12.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$14.14
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
29 Oct 2026
· in 78 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed