RLI Corp. (RLI) — Property & Casualty Insurance. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 655.9K · 3-mo avg 781.6K

RLI Corp. (RLI)

RLIRLI Corp.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 7 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 68/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$55.41
basis · pivot low + s1 + put wall · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$57–58
center $57.39 · basis · round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$5.40
9.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 10% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
Low
0.77× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 10% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.02×
52-week range$47.26 – $67.12
Below high since 2015-38.9% · $91.14 high
Risk / reward0.52 : 1
Plan stop$52.41
Max pain$55.00 options cluster
RSI 1423.7 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple20.7× fwd · 11.7× trailing
P/E vs its own past24th pctile · 18.0× median
Price / book2.87×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 75% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
23.7
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$62.11
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$55.74
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$60.27
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$55.41
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$55.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.61
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.02×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
10.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.31
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-19
in 16 sessions
Next dividend
1.29% yld
no ex-date on file