PriceSmart, Inc. (PSMT) — Discount Stores. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PSMT fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 203.2K · 3-mo avg 241.8K

PriceSmart, Inc. (PSMT)

PSMTPriceSmart, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 1 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 36/100 · Nov 6
$161.65
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$165–168
near a resistance level and the 200-day average · midpoint $166.49 · Nov 6
±$13.32
±8.2% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 4% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Low
61% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.8× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 4% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume26% below normal0.74× its 20-day average
Past year's range$114.38 – $199.84lowest to highest price
From its peak18.7% belowpeak $199.84, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.29 to 1$0.29 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$148.77the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$170.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)41.3fires under 35 · fires near $156.63
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit25.3× next year30.1× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 83%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 21.8×
Cash it generates2.1%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 41% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
41.3
fires under 35 · fires near $156.63
vs 50-day
✓
$169.54
below the line
Bollinger
●
$160.11
no lower pierce · fires near $159.38
VWAP 20
✓
$167.92
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$161.65
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.58
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.74×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$5.69
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-06
in 40 sessions
Next dividend
0.86% yld
no ex-date on file