PPL Corporation (PPL) — Regulated Electric Utilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PPL fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 6.89M · 3-mo avg 7.48M

PPL Corporation (PPL)

PPLPPL Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
-3net
0 bull / 2 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 93/100 · was 17 on Sep 21 · as of 2026-09-250/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$31.87
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$34–35
center $34.60 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.14
3.6% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
0.92× the norm · 61% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.03×
52-week range$31.56 – $40.11
Below high since 2015-20.1% · $40.11 high
Risk / reward2.17 : 1
Plan stop$30.85
Max pain$34.00 options cluster
RSI 1426.3 oversold
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple15.1× fwd · 19.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past0th pctile · 26.7× median
Free cash flow yield-5.8% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 69% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
26.3
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$34.54
below the line
Bollinger
●
$31.94
no lower pierce · fires near $31.90
VWAP 20
✓
$33.76
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$31.87
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$31.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.18
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.03×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.51
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
3.56% yld
no ex-date on file