PPL Corporation (PPL) — Regulated Electric Utilities. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PPL fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:15 PM ETVol 3.83M · 3-mo avg 7.65M

PPL Corporation (PPL)

PPLPPL Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 1 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 10
$35.52
near a recent low, a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9
$39–40
near the 52-week high · midpoint $39.46 · Nov 9
±$0.04
±0.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Low
47% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.7× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume20% below normal0.80× its 20-day average
Past year's range$31.56 – $40.11lowest to highest price
From its peak11.0% belowpeak $40.11, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk2.97 to 1$2.97 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$34.38the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$25.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)60.0fires under 35 · fires near $32.78
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit16.8× next year20.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 7%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 26.5×
Cash it generates-5.2%it used more cash than it made

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 0.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 47% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
60.0
fires under 35 · fires near $32.78
vs 50-day
●
$34.19
above the line · fires near $34.45
Bollinger
●
$34.15
no lower pierce · fires near $33.92
VWAP 20
●
$35.35
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $35.32
Entry level
✓
$35.52
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$25.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
0.00
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.80×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.57
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-19
in 68 sessions
Next dividend
3.20% yld
no ex-date on file