PDF Solutions, Inc. (PDFS) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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PDFS fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 3:38 PM ETVol 403.5K · 3-mo avg 623.1K

PDF Solutions, Inc. (PDFS)

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QTick signal
0net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$49.30
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$71–72
center $71.69 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.46
9.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.20× the norm · 95% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (4/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.63×
52-week range$23.55 – $71.69
Below high since 2015-30.9% · $71.69 high
Risk / reward3.21 : 1
Plan stop$42.65
Max pain$40.00 options cluster
RSI 1458.1 fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple198.4× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past38th pctile · 410.5× median
Free cash flow yield-0.4% · burning cash

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 3.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 46% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
58.1
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$47.08
above the line · fires near $47.50
Bollinger
●
$40.29
no lower pierce · fires near $39.57
VWAP 20
●
$45.12
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $45.07
Entry level
✓
$49.30
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$40.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context✓
+0.76
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.63×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
10.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.54
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file