Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:00 PM ETVol 1.18M · 3-mo avg 2.93M

Paychex, Inc. (PAYX)

PAYXPaychex, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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$114.19
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$126–128
near the 52-week high and a round-number price · midpoint $126.69 · Nov 9
±$0.03
±0.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume29% below normal0.71× its 20-day average
Past year's range$85.45 – $127.98lowest to highest price
From its peak28.8% belowpeak $161.24, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.16 to 1$1.16 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$106.55the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$115.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)54.9fires under 35 · fires near $100.82
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit18.1× next year23.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 13%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 28.1×
Cash it generates5.6%of its market value, per year

Trading in line with its own normal, price up 1.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 36% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
54.9
fires under 35 · fires near $100.82
vs 50-day
●
$110.88
above the line · fires near $111.83
Bollinger
●
$104.67
no lower pierce · fires near $102.85
VWAP 20
●
$112.78
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $112.70
Entry level
●
$114.19
level below · fires near $115.31
Put wall
●
$80.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.45
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.71×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.82
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-18
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
4.11% yld
no ex-date on file