Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG) — $198.97 +5.81%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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FANG fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.93M · Avg 2.26M
FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.$198.97+5.81%Pre-market$198.13-0.42%

WAIT.

Not worth owning here — the balance sheet is under real strain and the filings carry red flags.

The balance-sheet safety score sits in its distress band and 2 accounting red flags are raised — the quality screen fails at any price. 0 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
0 of 6 aligned — not yet
Quality fails the screen — a distress-zone balance sheet with forensic flags.
Market contextSector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 0.8× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$197.00
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$212–215
center $213.34 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$11.96
6.0% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.85× · 1.93M vs 2.26M avg
52-week range$134.30 – $214.51
Below high since 2015-7.2% · $214.51 high
Risk / reward1 : 1.0
Plan stop$180.09
Max pain$195.00 options cluster
RSI 1455.2 fires under 35 · fires near $173.40
Forensic flags2 review
What-if price
$198.97
$172.74 · -13.2%-13.2%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+6.0% · $210.93+6.0%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
55.2
fires under 35 · fires near $173.40
vs 50-day
$191.09
above the line · fires near $192.74
Bollinger
$184.23
no lower pierce · fires near $181.92
VWAP 20
$195.72
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $195.69
Entry level
$197.00
level below · fires near $198.81
Put wall
$180.00
OI strike below · fires near $180.77
MACD
-0.77
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.85×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
4.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.26
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2 Nov 2026
· in 82 days
Next dividend
USD 1.10
ex-date 2026-08-13
prices 15-min delayed