Old Republic International Corporation (ORI) — Property & Casualty Insurance. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 9:46 AM ETVol 12.2K · 3-mo avg 1.51M

Old Republic International Corporation (ORI)

ORIOld Republic International Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
-7net
0 bull / 4 bear factors · moderate
Bull 0 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 9
$39.43
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$39.98
near a resistance level, a round-number price and the 200-day average · midpoint $39.98 · Nov 9
±$1.48
±3.7% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Low
61% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 0.8× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend · price is back above the 50-day, trying to recover
Trading volume28% below normal0.72× its 20-day average
Past year's range$36.65 – $46.76lowest to highest price
From its peak15.2% belowpeak $46.76, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.10 to 1$0.10 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$37.12the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$40.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)54.4fires under 35 · fires near $36.41
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit12.5× next year9.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 26%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 10.0×

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 40% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
54.4
fires under 35 · fires near $36.41
vs 50-day
●
$39.32
above the line · fires near $39.68
Bollinger
●
$37.56
no lower pierce · fires near $37.27
VWAP 20
●
$39.09
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $39.08
Entry level
✓
$39.43
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$35.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context✓
+0.09
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.72×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
4.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.97
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-21
in 48 sessions
Next dividend
3.17% yld
no ex-date on file