Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) — Discount Stores. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

OLLIpeers & supply-chain relationships

OLLI fair-value estimate

OLLI earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 144.3K · 3-mo avg 1.94M

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI)

OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
loading…
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE inflation days · not on fileOKFinding a bottom · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$75.82
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$138–140
center $139.21 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$5.49
7.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Pullback risk
Elevated
1.22× the norm · 97% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: bottoming
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure · price back above the 50-day — repair underway
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.79×
52-week range$60.29 – $139.21
Below high since 2015-46.2% · $141.74 high
Risk / reward6.13 : 1
Plan stop$67.82
Max pain$70.00 options cluster
RSI 1453.5 fires under 35 · fires near $66.69
Forensic flags3 review
Earnings multiple15.5× fwd · 17.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past9th pctile · 30.6× median
Free cash flow yield4.1% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 46% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

0 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
53.5
fires under 35 · fires near $66.69
vs 50-day
$72.82
above the line · fires near $73.40
Bollinger
$70.88
no lower pierce · fires near $70.48
VWAP 20
$74.46
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $74.40
Entry level
$75.82
level below · fires near $76.54
Put wall
$75.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
+0.03
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.79×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
12.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.90
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-12-09
in 58 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file