Nomura Holdings, Inc. (NMR) — Capital Markets. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.39M · 3-mo avg 797.3K

Nomura Holdings, Inc. (NMR)

NMRNomura Holdings, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$9.37
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$9.78
near the top of its usual range, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $9.78 · Nov 6
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
68% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume33% above normal1.33× its 20-day average
Past year's range$6.88 – $10.94lowest to highest price
From its peak13.9% belowpeak $10.94, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.71 to 1$0.71 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$8.91the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)48.3fires under 35 · fires near $8.71
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit16.8× next year10.8× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 46%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 11.1×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 53% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

2 of 5 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
48.3
fires under 35 · fires near $8.71
vs 50-day
✓
$9.80
below the line
Bollinger
●
$8.87
no lower pierce · fires near $8.78
VWAP 20
●
$9.37
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $9.36
Entry level
✓
$9.37
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.07
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
1.33×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.23
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-29
in 56 sessions
Next dividend
3.40% yld
no ex-date on file