NIO Inc. (NIO) — Auto Manufacturers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:16 PM ETVol 16.58M · 3-mo avg 33.59M

NIO Inc. (NIO)

NIONIO Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 7/100 · Nov 9
$3.39
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9 · price is already 4.3% below it
$3–4
near a resistance level, a round-number price and the 50-day average · midpoint $3.50 · Nov 9
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume5% below normal0.95× its 20-day average
Past year's range$3.10 – $7.06lowest to highest price
From its peak94.9% belowpeak $67.08, highest since 2018
Gain vs. risk0.39 to 1$0.39 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$3.12the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)50.8fires under 35 · fires near $2.63
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit26.1× next year

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 54% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
50.8
fires under 35 · fires near $2.63
vs 50-day
✓
$3.52
below the line
Bollinger
●
$3.14
no lower pierce · fires near $3.11
VWAP 20
✓
$3.34
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$3.39
below the model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.02
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.95×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.14
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-24
in 10 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file