NIO Inc. (NIO) — Auto Manufacturers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

NIOpeers & supply-chain relationships

NIO fair-value estimate

NIO earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 25.38M · 3-mo avg 30.02M

NIO Inc. (NIO)

NIONIO Inc.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 26/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$3.56
basis · low 52w + pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$4.20
center $4.20 · basis · bb upper + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.64×
52-week range$3.55 – $8.02
Below high since 2018-94.7% · $67.08 high
Risk / reward2.69 : 1
Plan stop$3.35
Max pain—
RSI 1429.7 oversold
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple28.2× fwd · trailing not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 1.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 76% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
29.7
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$4.29
below the line
Bollinger
●
$3.34
no lower pierce · fires near $3.28
VWAP 20
✓
$3.81
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$3.56
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.02
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.64×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
7.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.11
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-24
in 42 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file