Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) — Grocery Stores. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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NGVC fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 96.2K · 3-mo avg 147.6K

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC)

NGVCNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
1 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$29.56
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$40–41
center $40.26 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.65×
52-week range$23.47 – $41.14
Below high since 2015-51.5% · $61.22 high
Risk / reward4.33 : 1
Plan stop$27.27
Max pain—
RSI 1454.6 fires under 35 · fires near $25.65
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple12.9× fwd · 14.6× trailing
P/E vs its own past52nd pctile · 15.4× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 36% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
54.6
fires under 35 · fires near $25.65
vs 50-day
●
$29.25
above the line · fires near $29.53
Bollinger
●
$26.18
no lower pierce · fires near $25.71
VWAP 20
●
$28.96
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $28.95
Entry level
✓
$29.56
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.33
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.65×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
7.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.14
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-19
in 40 sessions
Next dividend
2.02% yld
no ex-date on file
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) Stock Price & Signals · QTick