Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) — $85.33 −0.62%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

SFMpeers & supply-chain relationships

SFM fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.35M · Avg 2.22M
SFMSprouts Farmers Market, Inc.$85.33-0.62%

WAIT.

The entry isn't here — the timing triggers haven't fired.

1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
+6net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$84.90
basis · s1 + sma 200 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$153–155
center $153.75 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
±$8.02
9.4% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~85% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.1× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.61× · 1.35M vs 2.22M avg
52-week range$64.75 – $152.25
Below high since 2015-53.1% · $182.00 high
Risk / reward1 : 8.4
Plan stop$76.75
Max pain$135.00 far from the price — likely a stale options snapshot
RSI 1457.0 fires under 35 · fires near $69.95
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$85.33
$65.80 · -22.9%-22.9%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+9.4% · $93.35+9.4%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
57.0
fires under 35 · fires near $69.95
vs 50-day
$81.80
above the line · fires near $82.52
Bollinger
$68.35
no lower pierce · fires near $66.17
VWAP 20
$80.23
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $80.20
Entry level
$84.90
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$70.00
OI strike below · fires near $70.32
MACD
+0.96
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.61×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
15.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.08
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
28 Oct 2026
· in 77 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed