Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) — Grocery Stores. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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SFMpeers & supply-chain relationships

SFM fair-value estimate

SFM earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 3.09M · 3-mo avg 1.98M

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM)

SFMSprouts Farmers Market, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 34/100 · as of 2026-09-24
Smart entry
$65.09
basis · low 52w + s1 + put wall · as of 2026-09-24 · price is 4.0% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$78–79
center $78.56 · basis · sma 200 + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.81
6.1% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Elevated
1.08× the norm · 86% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.05×
52-week range$62.49 – $119.98
Below high since 2015-64.1% · $182.00 high
Risk / reward2.24 : 1
Plan stop$59.08
Max pain$75.00 options cluster
RSI 1429.4 oversold
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple11.5× fwd · 13.1× trailing
P/E vs its own past14th pctile · 15.4× median
Free cash flow yield7.3% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 67% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

6 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
29.4
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$78.65
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$63.75
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$75.02
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$65.09
below the model level
Put wall
✓
$65.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-24
MACD
Context●
-0.81
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.05×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
12.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$3.00
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file