Carrefour SA (CRRFY) — $3.60 −1.91%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

How we compute this

CRRFYpeers & supply-chain relationships

CRRFY fair-value estimate

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated not on fileVol 10.3K · Avg 319.7K
CRRFYCarrefour SA$3.60-1.91%

WAIT.

The triggers line up — but the move is nearly spent.

3 of 5 entry triggers are firing, but the shown price sits within $0.05 of the $3.65 target reference — the reward left no longer covers the $3.38 stop's risk. Chasing the last stretch buys the worst of the trade.

QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
3 of 5 aligned — not yet
Triggers aligned, but the target is one swing away — the move is nearly spent.
Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE sensitivity · not on fileOKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$3.58
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit zone
$3.65
center $3.65 · basis · daily pivot + sma 50 · as of 2026-08-11
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
~65% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.0× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs 20-day avg0.03× · 10.3K vs 319.7K avg
52-week range$2.82 – $4.13
Below high since 2023-13.7% · $4.17 high
Risk / reward1 : 0.3
Plan stop$3.38
Max pain
RSI 1446.1 fires under 35 · fires near $3.36
Forensic flags0 clean
What-if price
$3.60
$3.33 · -7.4%-7.4%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+5.7% · $3.81+5.7%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
46.1
fires under 35 · fires near $3.36
vs 50-day
$3.65
below the line
Bollinger
$3.53
no lower pierce · fires near $3.51
VWAP 20
$3.65
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$3.58
within 1% of model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
0.00
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.03×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.10
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
not on file
Next dividend
6.39% yld
no ex-date on file
prices 15-min delayed