Qtick
Sign in
‹ Back to the callMWHSOLV Energy, Inc.$25.20+0.60%
Deep dive · NasdaqGS: MWH

SOLV Energy, Inc. stock analysis

Everything behind the call on SOLV Energy, Inc. 6 sections, ordered the way risk stacks up: survival first, quality and price in the middle, context last. The Beacon gives you the read. This is where you check the work.

The five reads
Global tapeOverseas lean0.00%
ZurichMWH0.00%⏱
Where else this company trades. A closed venue shows its last close, marked ⏱ — not a live price. Overseas lean is the average move across the 1 overseas venue listed above, excluding the home listing — a read on overnight sentiment rather than a signal.
The bottom linestart hereAs of 2026-09-25
Wall Street rating
Buy
+79% to the average target
91% buy · 9% hold · 0% sell
median target $45
Earnings
In 47 days
12 Nov 2026 · options imply ±8.3%
cohort P(beat) 61% · n=139,854
Dividend
0.00%
A rounding error against cash — this is a capital-gains position
Risk flags
1 on watch
5 checks run, 3 clear
beta 2.02 · vol 45% ann.
worst drawdown -49%
New to this? Every metric carries a plain-English read beside it, and an ⓘ next to a label opens the definition. Anything unfamiliar is also defined at the foot of the page under Glossary.
NasdaqGS · USDRenewable Utilities
$25.20+0.15 · +0.60%CLOSED · vol 1.38M
52-week range↑ 6% off low · ↓ 47.9% off high
$23.83now $25.20$48.40
Quote Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET
Tape 2026-09-25
Factors 2026-09-25
01Ratios · Jul 8, 2026NO SOLVENCY RISK

Survival & solvency

Altman-Z of 4.6 against a 3.0 safe threshold, and 3 of 5 forensic checks clear.

↳ Plain EnglishBefore anything else: can this company pay its bills? These blocks check the balance sheet, whether your slice of ownership is being diluted, and whether the accounting looks honest.
Bankruptcy risk (Altman-Z)
4.60SAFE ZONE
Distress<1.8
Grey1.8–3.0
Safe>3.0
Profitability, leverage and liquidity combined into one number. Above 3.0 is the safe band.
Balance sheetJul 8, 2026
Distance to default (Merton)COMFORTABLE
6.2σ
How many standard deviations of asset value sit between the company and its debt. Above 4σ is comfortable.
Structural snapshot · Sep 26, 2026
1-year default probabilityEDF-CALIBRATED
0.18%
Calibrated against how often companies at this distance actually defaulted, rather than assuming a normal distribution.
Method · empirical EDF bucket · pooled cohort · n=47,236 · 86 events · OOS AUC 0.896
Piotroski F-scoreCLEAR
F 9/9
Piotroski F-score 9 of 9. Nine pass/fail tests covering profitability, leverage and operating efficiency; seven or more is strong.
Solvency and liquidity ratios
Current ratioshort-term assets against short-term bills1.01×healthy >2
Debt / equityborrowings against shareholder capital1.04
Net debtborrowings in excess of cash on hand$76.99M
Your ownership stake
Share-count growth vs peersHIGH DILUTION
92nd pctile
Where this name's share-count growth ranks among peers. Lower is less dilutive.
Accounting forensicsSEC filings
Red-flag x-rayGRADE A
88 / 100
0 critical · 1 watch · 3 clear of 4 scored tests
3 of 5 checks clear
Red-flag x-ray · every check, passes included
CheckStatusValueWhat it looks for
Bankruptcy distressCLEARZ 4.60Altman-Z in the safe zone · fundamentals
Earnings manipulationNAn/aBeneish-M not applicable to this sector · fundamentals
LeverageCLEARLTD/E 0.91long-term debt 0.91× equity · fundamentals
Profitability qualityCLEARF 9/9Piotroski F-score 9 of 9 · fundamentals
Filing forensicsWATCH2 flags2 filing red flags on the latest 10-K · forensic
5 checks, 3 clear and 1 watch. The passes are shown because a score built from five checks means something different from one built from three.
02Refreshed · Sep 26, 2026FAIR · 58/100

Business quality

6% net margin, 33% return on equity, +35% revenue growth, and capital earning 34% against a 14% cost.

↳ Plain EnglishMargins tell you how much of each sales dollar the company keeps. Return on capital tells you whether reinvesting that money creates value. Both are read against what the filings support, not against a target.
Quality score
58 / 100FAIR
Profitability · net margin 6%
Growth · revenue +35% YoY
Balance strength · debt/equity 1.04
Profitability, growth and balance strength scored separately, then blended.
ProfitabilityRefreshed · Sep 26, 2026
Net marginOF EVERY SALES DOLLAR
6.0%
The share of revenue that survives every cost and becomes profit.
Gross marginPRICING POWER
18.6%
What is left of a sales dollar before overhead — the clearest read on pricing power.
Operating marginAFTER RUNNING COSTS
7.8%
What survives the cost of running the whole business.
Return on equityPER $1 OF EQUITY
33.0%
Annual return on each dollar of shareholder equity.
ROIC − WACC spreadCREATES VALUE
20.1pp
Earns 34% on invested capital that costs about 14%. A positive spread means every retained dollar compounds rather than leaks.
Growth & relative strength
Trailing return by period
1 month
-10.4%
3 months
-28.7%
6 months
-10.6%
Year to date
-18.5%
Revenue growth (YoY)FAST
+34.8%
Revenue against the same period a year ago.
EPS growth (YoY)MARGINS WIDENING
+1,403.6%
Earnings per share against a year ago. Running ahead of revenue means margins are widening.
Relative-strength rankBOTTOM 14%
14 / 100
Where this name's 3-month return against the S&P 500 ranks across the market — a quarter's standing, not the year's.
Around earningsAug 13, 2026
P(beat next quarter)COHORT BASE RATE
61%
survivor-tilted universe (currently-listed names; large-cap-skewed coverage)
cohort n=139,854 · this name's own n=1
Beat rate · this nameTRAILING
1 of 1
Its own record against consensus. 1 print is a small sample, which is why the cohort rate above carries the probability.
n=1 measured prints
Typical earnings moveData unavailableRealized move magnitudes are not published for this name yet — needs ≥8 measured prints · 1 on file.
Reaction: beat vs missData unavailableThe beat-versus-miss reaction gap is not computed for this name — undetermined — needs ≥12 measured beats.
Consensus biasVALIDATED
Persistent
insufficient surprise history
As of · Aug 13, 2026
Next reportIN 47 DAYS
12 Nov 2026
Reports bmo · consensus EPS $0.54 · revenue 1.2 B
Dividends & income
Data unavailableThis company does not pay a dividend. There is no yield, payout ratio or ex-dividend date to show, and the return case rests entirely on capital gains.
Signal
Not an income position.

No dividend is declared, so nothing here contributes to total return except the price. That is a fact about the security, not a criticism of it.

Inventory ledger
Data unavailableNo inventory detail is tagged in this company's filings. The ledger needs the XBRL inventory components, which a business without physical goods does not report.
Segments & geography
Data unavailableRevenue by segment and region is not on file for this name, so product and geographic concentration are not shown.
Pattern reliability · platform-wide cohortSnapshot · Sep 26, 2026
Downtrend · leans bearish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d47%0.0%1,264,444
21d48%0.0%596,577
63d47%-0.6%187,417
slope -0.20 over 40 bars
Long legged doji
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d48%0.0%172,242
21d49%0.0%81,011
63d49%-0.2%25,751
indecision, long shadows
Cup and handle · leans bullish
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d46%-0.2%701,064
21d47%-0.4%328,275
63d47%-1.4%104,377
U-base + small handle pullback
Bollinger squeeze
HorizonHigherMedianObservations
10d43%0.0%764,373
21d45%0.0%357,385
63d47%0.0%112,620
bands at a multi-month tight — breakout pending
03

Price & timing

Price $25.20, RSI 42, and dealers short gamma.

↳ Plain EnglishA multiple is what the market charges for a dollar of this company's earnings, cash or revenue; the trend and the options tape say what the price is doing around it. Together they are the timing picture, not the quality one.
Momentum (RSI-14)
42COOL
030 oversold70 hot100
Where momentum sits on a 0–100 scale. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold; the middle says the move has room either way.
The setup right now
Price · 156 sessions2026-02-12 → 2026-09-25
$22$29$36$43$50CALL WALL $30PUT WALL $25$25.20
price50-day200-daylevel
How to read this
Up 0.60% on the session.

Follow the solid line: each point is a session close. Compare it to the 50-day average — while price stays above it the short-term trend is up, and a drop below is the first structural warning.

The dashed levels are the strikes the options chain is most committed to. They are the same numbers the gamma block states; nothing here is drawn that no section derives.

Market cap$5.10B
Day range$24.92 – $25.69
Above 52-week low+6%
Realized volatility45% ann.
Worst drawdown-49.0%
Typical day (ATR-14)±4.9%
$1.24
The average true range — how far this stock moves on an ordinary day. It sets the scale a stop has to clear.
MACDABOVE SIGNAL
+0.11
The short-term trend against its own signal line. The sign is the read; the size is not a target.
Bollinger position39% OF RANGE
Mid band
Where price sits inside its own volatility band. The edges are where a move is stretched, not where it reverses.
20-day VWAPPRICE BELOW
$25.57
The volume-weighted average of the last month. Price above it means recent buyers are, on average, in profit.
Chandelier exitLONG INTACT
$25.20
A volatility-based trailing stop, set a few average ranges below the recent high.
Pivots (classic)R1 $26 · S1 $25
$25.27
The last settled session's range projected forward. Reference levels, not predictions — after a big gap they can sit on the wrong side of the price until the next close.
12 Nov 2026 · in 47 daysNext earningsThe next scheduled catalyst. The forward guide usually moves the tape more than the printed number. Date as the vendor last stated it on 28 Aug; companies confirm about three weeks ahead, so it can still move.
2026-09-29 · in 3 daysJob Openings (JOLTS)A scheduled macro release. It moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Setup & oddsNightly
Pullback riskoverstretch read
In line1.08× segment rate · n=11,955
Historically, mid names in this tape state saw a ≥10% pullback within 63 trading days in 85% of cases (n=11,955).
Overstretchvs the 20-day mean
-0.5σ
How many standard deviations price sits from its 20-day mean. Beyond 2σ is genuinely stretched; inside it is ordinary.
Bottom zoneif it breaks down
$23 – $253 supports
Where prior demand appeared: S1 at $24.85, Pivot low at $23.93, Pivot low at $23.83.
Slide scorefalling-knife check
25 / 100Neutral
A composite of consecutive down days, gap risk and volume expansion. Low means any decline is orderly.
Valuation
Earnings yield vs cashBELOW CASH
-2.90pp
Cash pays more than the earnings yield today, so what you are buying is future growth rather than a current return.
Net cash per shareNET DEBT
$-0.39
Cash less every borrowing, per share. It is the part of the price that is not a claim on future profits.
Multiples
Trailing P/Eearnings already reported42.7×
Price / salesprice against revenue, before any of it becomes profit2.0×
Price / bookprice against the accounting value of the assets11.3×
EV / EBITDAthe multiple an acquirer would pay17.8×
EV / free cash flowenterprise value against the cash the business throws off16.7×
FCF yieldfree cash flow per dollar of market value6.08%
3 of the 6 priced multiples above sit in the richer half of its band. Each priced multiple is read against this stock's own history where a five-year range is on file, so the question is whether today is dear for this name rather than for the market. The multiples are computed separately from the quote above and are not re-priced as it moves, so they can lag it.
Price horizon & timingSep 25, 2026
Entryzone of pivot low + S1 + put wall
$25.07In zone
Where the composer's entry sits, on its own stated basis.
TargetBb upper + round + sma 50
$27.21$27–$28
A zone, not a price. It is where the composer expects supply, not a forecast.
Stop2× ATR below entry
$22.59risk $2.49/sh
The level that says the setup is wrong, on the basis named beside it.
Risk / rewardtarget vs stop
0.86:1flagged low
Less reward than risk at these levels. The composer publishes it rather than hiding it, because a sub-1 ratio is the argument against the trade.
Measure from a price$
To the 50-day
+9.0%
short-term trend line · $27.46
To the put wall
-0.8%
heaviest put open interest · $25.00
To the call wall
+19.0%
heaviest call open interest · $30.00
To the composer's target
+8.0%
Bb upper + round + sma 50 · set Sep 25, 2026 · $27.21
To the composer's stop
-10.4%
2× ATR below entry · set Sep 25, 2026 · $22.59
To the 52-week high
+92.1%
highest print of the past year · $48.40
To the 52-week low
-5.4%
lowest print of the past year · $23.83
Options-implied week ±8.3%
$23.12 – $27.28
what the chain prices for the week
A typical day (ATR)
$23.96 – $26.44
±$1.24 average true range
Type any price to re-measure every distance from it. Each row is a level this page already states somewhere else, so nothing here is a new number — and none of it is a recommendation to trade at that price.
Signal
Less reward than risk at this level.

Entry $25.07 · stop $22.59 · target $27.21, a 0.86:1 ratio. The composer flagged: elevated distress, fair-value reference, gamma ceiling, low reward to risk.

Gamma mapChain · Sep 26, 2026
Signal
Short gamma — moves get amplified.

Dealers hedge in the same direction as the move, so swings get bigger both ways rather than one. That argues for a smaller position size, not for a direction.

Dealer-hedging mechanics. Useful if you trade options; the takeaway above is what it means for the share price.
Options tapeFront expiry 2026-10-16 · Chain · Sep 26, 2026
Max pain+19.1%
$30.00
The strike where most open options expire worthless. Price often drifts toward it into expiry.
Front expiry 2026-10-16
Put / call ratio (OI)PUT-HEAVY
7.79
11% calls
89% puts
Open interest in puts against calls. Heavy call interest often caps how far price can run before expiry.
Put / call ratio (volume)TODAY'S FLOW
4.31
Today's traded flow rather than the standing position. It moves faster and means less.
Expected move (1-week)≈ $2.08
±8.3%
What the chain prices for the week. A range the market is charging for, not a forecast.
of the chain spot $25.20
Largest open interest · front expiry
StrikeTypeOpen interest
$25.00PUT653
$30.00PUT75
$30.00CALL47
$25.00CALL31
$22.50PUT27
$35.00CALL15
Large call interest above the price acts as a magnet and a ceiling; large put interest below is a floor of hedges. The biggest strike is the level the market is most committed to defending into the next expiry.
Open interest by strikeexpires 2026-10-16CallsPutsMax pain $30.00
2
$45.00
00
$40.00
015
$35.00
747
$30.00
7531
$25.00
6530
$22.50
273
$20.00
10
$17.50
0
The shaded row is the strike nearest the price. Heavy call interest above acts as a ceiling; heavy put interest below is a floor of hedges.
↑ 52-week high$48.40+92.1%The highest print of the past year.Old highs draw profit-taking on the first attempt.
↑ Call wall$30.00+19.0%Heaviest call open interest on the front expiry.Acts as a ceiling into expiry; a close above usually needs a catalyst.
◇ Max pain$30.00+19.0%Where most open options expire worthless.Price often drifts toward it into the close of the expiry week.
↓ 50-day average$27.46+9.0%The line the short-term trend is measured against.A close beneath it is the first structural warning.
↓ Put wall$25.00-0.8%Heaviest put open interest — a floor of hedges.Dealer buying tends to build as price approaches.
0413F quarterly · Form 4 dailyNET SIGNAL +3

Ownership & flow

Institutions hold 107%, short interest is 18.38% of float, and 11 analysts average $45.

↳ Plain EnglishWho is buying and selling, and what they had to disclose. Institutions file 13F 45 days after quarter end, executives file Form 4 within two days, and Congress discloses under the STOCK Act with a 30–45 day legal lag. Every one of those is a look backwards.
Net signal
+3LEANING · 30d
Earnings +2
Sentiment +1
2 bull / 0 bear factors. The points sum to the net beside the label; nothing here is weighted after the fact.
The QTick signalNightly
Earnings4 QUARTERS · TIMING
+2
latest EPS beat by 36%
Sentiment1–30D · TIMING
+1
7d sentiment elevated (91/100)
Signal
2 bull / 0 bear factors

Independent factors scored and netted to +3 over 30d, a leaning reading. 2 of 9 factors carried a direction; the others scored zero and do not vote. The signal describes where the data leans, not what to do about it.

Cross-category read
Data unavailableFewer independent evidence families are ready than the engine's minimum, so there is nothing to check for agreement. A cross-category read over two categories is not a read.
Wall Street11 covering firms
Consensus rating11 ANALYSTS
Buy
91% buy · 9% hold · 0% sell, as a share of the 11 covering firms.
Median price target+79%
$45
$35now $25$55
A $35–$55 spread across the panel. A twelve-month view, and a wide spread means real disagreement rather than a consensus.
Forward EPS estimateCONSENSUS
$1.81
What the panel expects the company to earn per share.
next year · 3 analysts
Recent analyst moves · last 90 days
FirmTargetDirectionRank
TD Cowen$35↑48/100
Baird$42↓54/100
Upgrades, downgrades and target changes from covering firms. A cluster of moves in one direction matters more than any single target; the rank is the firm's own credibility score, or a dash below the scoring floor.
Who owns it13F quarterly · Form 4 daily
Institutional ownershipINSTITUTIONALLY HELD
106.9%
The share held by 13F filers. It describes last quarter's positioning, not today's — filings land up to 45 days after quarter end.
Insider ownershipOFFICERS & DIRECTORS
0.0%
The share held by the people running the company.
Short interest (float)CROWDED
18.38%
Rising — shares short changed +4.2% over 30 days. A crowded short is fuel in both directions.
Free float26% OF SHARES
32.43M
Shares actually available to trade, excluding insider and restricted holdings.
Dollar volume (ADV)79th PCTILE
$49.04M/day
Average dollars traded per day, and where that ranks cross-sectionally. Thin liquidity is a cost you pay on the way out, not just on the way in.
Borrow feeData unavailableWe do not license securities-lending data, so the annualized cost of borrowing shares to short is not something we can show. Short interest and days-to-cover above are the closest read we can source.
Insider filings · Form 4
InsiderTradeAmountPlanTraded
Abram J Adam · DirectorAwardnot on file—27 Aug
Stefanowicz Nancy · DirectorAwardnot on file—27 Aug
McQuade Daniel P · DirectorAwardnot on file—27 Aug
Jackson William C · DirectorAwardnot on file—27 Aug
Stern Laura Ellen · DirectorAwardnot on file—27 Aug
Lerner Steven J. · DirectorAwardnot on file—27 Aug
Executives must file within two business days. Sales on pre-set 10b5-1 plans are scheduled months ahead and carry little signal; tax withholding, exercises and awards are compensation mechanics, not trades; the open-market lines are the ones to read.
The story · news & sentimentRolling window
Why it moved todayNONE
+0.60%
MWH rose +0.60% since the last close — no identified catalyst in our coverage.
Matched · Sep 25, 2026
News tone · 7-day—
91 / 100
Headline polarity over the window, scored from news articles. Above 60 leans positive, below 40 negative. Colour, not a signal.
Newswire · 49 stories
WhenHeadlineSourceTone
ThuMWH Apr 2027 22.500 put (MWH270416P00022500) interactive stock chart - Yahoo Finance UKYahoo Finance UKnot scored
WedMWH Apr 2027 22.500 put (MWH270416P00022500) stock price, news, quote and history - Yahoo Finance SingaporeYahoo Finance Singaporenot scored
WedSolv Energy eyes 58% growth by FY26 amid strong data center demand despite 40% stock drop since May 2026 - PluangPluangnot scored
WedSolv Energy Stock: Powering Up (NASDAQ:MWH) - Seeking AlphaSeeking Alphanot scored
WedMWH Oct 2026 22.500 put (MWH261016P00022500) stock price, news, quote and history - Yahoo Finance UKYahoo Finance UKnot scored
Sep 16Dividend History - SOLV Energy Inc. (MWH) - Zacks Investment ResearchZacks Investment Researchnot scored
Sep 4SOLV Energy - PV Enabler Looks A Lot Brighter Here (NASDAQ:MWH) - Seeking AlphaSeeking Alphanot scored
Aug 28SOLV Energy (MWH) insider logs latest stock trades - Stock TitanStock Titannot scored
Coverage published around the move, newest first. Nothing here measures causation — only the why-it-moved card above is matched to the tape by timestamp.
Congress
Data unavailableNo congressional trades in this name have been disclosed under the STOCK Act. Lawmakers' disclosed trades cluster heavily in large caps, so an empty list is the usual state.
0511 graded callsHIGH VOLATILITY

Risk & track record

Beta 2.02, 45% annual volatility, a -49% worst drawdown, and 4 of 8 risk surfaces clear.

↳ Plain EnglishWhat owning it does to a portfolio, what the model votes against, and how often our own calls have been right. Every call is graded when it resolves, and the ones still open stay visible.
Max drawdown
-49.0%WORST FALL
The deepest peak-to-trough fall in the measured window. Only hold a position you can watch do this.
What it does to a portfolio5-year window
Beta (vs the market)AMPLIFIES
2.02
Moves about 2.0× the market over the past year.
3-year beta 2.02
Annualized volatilityELEVATED
45%
How far it swings over a year, from its own realized returns.
Tactical phaseNIGHTLY READ
Neutral
Selling pressure61
Buying pressure0
Overheat0
State: neutral — No dominant short-horizon pressure in the tape.
0-100 · high = active · lit = the engine's own phase, cohort-banded
What votes against
Data unavailableNo factor in the model currently votes against this name. That is a statement about the model's inputs today, not a claim that nothing could go wrong.
Failure modes · by company type
Data unavailableFailure modes are routed per company type, and only the bank-run and crypto-treasury rulebooks are validated so far. This name routes as growth, so there is no cohort-specific checklist to run. A generic list would read as analysis without being any.
The risk case · why not to buy8 surfaces · nightly
Suggested position capmax defensible size
2.2%tail cap binds
max defensible size 2.2% - tail binds
Avoid score6-month distress
16.5%2.1× its cohort · heavily-traded large-caps
Observational 6-month large-drawdown risk ranking — not a forecast, not alpha. Historical distress rate for this heavily-traded large-caps segment: 8.0%. This name reads 2.0× that base rate.
LowDistress screenThe distress model did not score this name in the latest run, so this surface is unmeasured rather than clear.Not scored
MedPosition size, not conviction, is the binding constrainthalf-Kelly 27.2% · tail cap 2.2% · category cap 54.6%. The tail cap binds, so 2.2% is the number (n=92,785). We show which one binds rather than the friendliest.Sizing
LowLottery-ticket behaviourIts best 21-day return sits at 6.1% against a 9.6% cohort 90th-percentile threshold — below the line where forward returns have historically turned negative.Behaviour
LowCash runwayNon-burner: catastrophe rate 6.1% (n=297414).Solvency
LowPost-earnings driftDrift odds at full strength (+2.24% / 63-day spread reference from measured post-earnings drift).Timing
LowDividend riskNot scored for this name.Not scored
HighRestatement history1 restatement in 2 years. The flagged-company base rate is 6.2× the unflagged one.Integrity
LowCrowded shortNot in a warn state: the crowded-short model only publishes when short interest and thin liquidity coincide, and neither condition is met here.Not scored
Signal
4 of 8 surfaces clear.

8 surfaces checked, 4 clear. The binding constraint is position size — the tail cap is the one that binds. Each row states which surface it is and what it measured; a surface that could not be scored says so rather than counting as clear.

Who should skip it
Skip it if any of these is you
You can't sit through -49%
That is this name's deepest measured fall, on 45% annualized volatility. A drawdown of that size is normal here, not exceptional.
You want income
A 0.00% yield is a rounding error against cash. This is a capital-gains position.
You're already heavy in this market
A 2.02 beta means you would be stacking the same bet rather than spreading it.
You'd size it like a core holding
The binding cap is 2.2% of a portfolio. Above that the tail stops being survivable.
Our track record11 resolved
Track recordBUILDING IN THE OPEN
25 logged
25 calls logged on this name, 11 resolved so far. Calls are logged the moment they are made, so the open ones are public before anyone knows how they turn out, and a hit-rate is not published until enough of them resolve.
11 resolved · 14 open
Calls on MWHTHIS NAME
25
This name's own call count. Too few have resolved to publish a rate over them, so none is shown rather than a rate over 11.
0610-K disclosed linksRENEWABLE UTILITIES

The wider context

5 mapped peers, 1 connection.

↳ Plain EnglishCompanies do not trade alone. This is the peer set, the supply chain that has to deliver, and the macro variables that move the stock regardless of company news.
Rate sensitivity
-250.4% per +1ppMEASURED
Measured against the 10-year yield: a one-point move in the yield has come with about a 250.4% move here, independent of company news.
Versus peersLatest session
Peer set · 5 names
SymbolRelationshipPriceSession
AXIA-PPeer$10.74-1.74%
BEPPeer$28.35+0.28%
AXIAPeer$10.22-2.39%
AXIA-PCPeer$10.12-2.22%
ENLTPeer$69.47+0.87%
The mapped peer set and how each traded in the latest session. A peer moving with this name says the move is the sector's; one moving against it says the move is this company's.
Time machineHistory from 2026-02-12
Signal
Every backward window is negative.

Look-back returns describe what happened, not what is likely. They are here to set the scale a future move would be measured on.

Historical retrospective. Context, not a forecast.
Macro driversRolling window
Next macro catalystIN 3 DAYS
Job Openings (JOLTS)
2026-09-29. A scheduled release that moves this stock independently of anything the company does.
Events · what moves this stockSep 20, 2026
Initial jobless claimsUsually helps when more people file for benefits than expected
Utilities trade like bonds and rise when rates fall.
Typical for the Utilities sector
report daytrading days before and after the report
On the day +0.6% · A week later +0.4% · Two weeks later +0.6% · Rose on 12 of 28 report days
Across the last 28 Initial jobless claims reports since Feb 26, 2026, MWH moved +0.6% on average on the day and was 0.6% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.1% on those days.
Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) is due in 3 days.
Core PCE (the Fed's gauge)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Utilities pay steady dividends much like bonds, so when rates rise on hot inflation investors sell them.
Typical for the Utilities sector
report daytrading days before and after the report
On the day -2.0% · A week later -2.9% · Two weeks later +0.8% · Rose on 2 of 7 report days
Only 7 reports on file, so treat this as a sketch, not a pattern. Across the last 7 Core PCE (the Fed's gauge) reports since Feb 28, 2026, MWH moved -2.0% on average on the day and was 0.8% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.4% on those days.
FOMC decisionUsually hurts when the Fed sounds more hawkish than expected
Renewable projects are built on borrowed money; higher rates hurt.
Typical for the Renewable Utilities industry
report daytrading days before and after the report
On the day -1.2% · A week later -3.2% · Two weeks later +1.3% · Rose on 3 of 7 report days
Only 7 reports on file, so treat this as a sketch, not a pattern. Across the last 7 FOMC decision reports since Mar 3, 2026, MWH moved -1.2% on average on the day and was 1.3% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.4% on those days.
PCE inflation is due in 3 days.
PCE inflationUsually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Utilities pay steady dividends much like bonds, so when rates rise on hot inflation investors sell them.
Typical for the Utilities sector
report daytrading days before and after the report
On the day -2.0% · A week later -2.9% · Two weeks later +0.8% · Rose on 2 of 7 report days
Only 7 reports on file, so treat this as a sketch, not a pattern. Across the last 7 PCE inflation reports since Feb 28, 2026, MWH moved -2.0% on average on the day and was 0.8% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.4% on those days.
Core inflation (core CPI)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Utilities pay steady dividends much like bonds, so when rates rise on hot inflation investors sell them.
Typical for the Utilities sector
report daytrading days before and after the report
On the day +0.5% · A week later +0.1% · Two weeks later +0.6% · Rose on 3 of 6 report days
Only 6 reports on file, so treat this as a sketch, not a pattern. Across the last 6 Core inflation (core CPI) reports since Mar 15, 2026, MWH moved +0.5% on average on the day and was 0.6% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.4% on those days.
Inflation (CPI)Usually hurts when inflation runs hotter than expected
Utilities pay steady dividends much like bonds, so when rates rise on hot inflation investors sell them.
Typical for the Utilities sector
report daytrading days before and after the report
On the day +0.5% · A week later +0.1% · Two weeks later +0.6% · Rose on 3 of 6 report days
Only 6 reports on file, so treat this as a sketch, not a pattern. Across the last 6 Inflation (CPI) reports since Mar 15, 2026, MWH moved +0.5% on average on the day and was 0.6% higher two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved +0.4% on those days.
10y / 30y Treasury auction is due in 10 days.
10y / 30y Treasury auctionUsually hurts when demand for the bonds is weak
Utilities trade like bonds and fall with them.
Typical for the Utilities sector
No price history on file yet for MWH around this report. The read above is for its sector as a whole.
Industrial productionUsually hurts when factory output comes in stronger than expected
Utilities fall when a strong economy lifts rates.
Typical for the Utilities sector
report daytrading days before and after the report
On the day -1.8% · A week later -2.0% · Two weeks later -4.3% · Rose on 2 of 6 report days
Only 6 reports on file, so treat this as a sketch, not a pattern. Across the last 6 Industrial production reports since Mar 18, 2026, MWH moved -1.8% on average on the day and was 4.3% lower two weeks later. The S&P 500 moved 0.0% on those days.
Customer momentum
Data unavailableCustomer momentum needs listed customers that disclose a revenue dependence on this company, and none is on file. The connections below are a different map: competitors and partners, most of them curated rather than filed.
Connections1 link · none confirmed
Direct connections · 1 edge
CompanyRelationSessionProvenance
NEE · Customercustomer+0.61%Rumored · manual
0 of 1 edge is named in a filing; the rest come from reporting we have not matched to one yet, and are labelled as such.
Suppliers, customers & competitors
Who depends on it
NEECustomercustomer
Glossary · every term on this page
Survival
Altman Z

Bankruptcy-risk score. Above 3.0 is the safe band.

Piotroski F

Nine pass/fail health tests; 7 or more is strong.

Beneish M

Accrual and growth pattern screen. Clear below −2.22, watch to −1.78, elevated above; a year of very fast revenue growth lifts it by construction.

Merton DTD

Standard deviations of asset value between the company and its debt.

EDF

Default frequency calibrated on what actually happened to similar names.

Price & tape
RSI-14

Momentum gauge 0–100. Above 70 is overbought, below 30 oversold.

ATR

Average true range — the size of a typical day.

VWAP

20-day volume-weighted average price — the average paid over the last month; the page shows no intraday VWAP.

Supertrend

A trend-following stop line. A close through it flips the read.

Chandelier

A trailing stop set a few average ranges below the recent high.

Options & flow
Gamma / GEX

Dealer hedging pressure. Negative gamma amplifies moves both ways.

Call / put wall

The strikes with the heaviest open interest; they act as ceiling and floor.

Max pain

The strike where most options expire worthless.

13F · Form 4

Institutional filings, 45 days after quarter end. Insider trades, within two days.

Scoring
Composite signal

Independent factors scored and netted into one number.

Hit-rate

Share of past calls that resolved in the direction stated.

Brier score

Calibration measure. Lower means stated probabilities track reality.

HHI

Concentration 0–10,000. Above 2,500 means one segment carries the company.

EVT

Fits the tail rather than assuming a bell curve, so bad days are not understated.

Deep dive