Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.57M · 3-mo avg 1.71M

Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR)

MURMurphy Oil Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
-4net
1 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 2 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 5/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$36.15
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$36–37
center $36.76 · basis · daily pivot + sma 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$2.86
7.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 84% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (1/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.96×
52-week range$26.49 – $43.34
Below high since 2015-32.0% · $53.43 high
Risk / reward0.14 : 1
Plan stop$33.24
Max pain$35.00 options cluster
RSI 1447.4 fires under 35 · fires near $31.72
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple10.8× fwd · 18.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past92nd pctile · 9.9× median
Free cash flow yield3.8% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 57% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
47.4
fires under 35 · fires near $31.72
vs 50-day
✓
$36.76
below the line
Bollinger
●
$35.02
no lower pierce · fires near $34.68
VWAP 20
✓
$37.51
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$36.15
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$35.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.23
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.96×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
7.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.45
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
3.85% yld
no ex-date on file