Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) — Internet Content & Information. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:01 PM ETVol 837.1K · 3-mo avg 3.50M

Match Group, Inc. (MTCH)

MTCHMatch Group, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+2net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 7 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 11/100 · Nov 10
$39.10
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$41.92
near a round-number price, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $41.92 · Nov 9
±$2.75
±7.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
96% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume61% below normal0.39× its 20-day average
Past year's range$28.81 – $46.67lowest to highest price
From its peak89.0% belowpeak $357.87, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.76 to 1$0.76 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$36.09the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$42.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)40.1fires under 35 · fires near $37.81
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit9.9× next year13.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 22%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 15.2×
Cash it generates11.5%of its market value, per year

Trading lighter than its own normal, price up 0.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 59% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
40.1
fires under 35 · fires near $37.81
vs 50-day
✓
$41.93
below the line
Bollinger
●
$37.72
no lower pierce · fires near $37.23
VWAP 20
✓
$42.33
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$39.10
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$37.50
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-10
MACD
Context●
-0.64
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.39×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
5.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.50
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-02
in 56 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.20
ex-date 2027-01-06