Match Group, Inc. (MTCH) — Internet Content & Information. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

MTCHpeers & supply-chain relationships

MTCH fair-value estimate

MTCH earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.35M · 3-mo avg 3.30M

Match Group, Inc. (MTCH)

MTCHMatch Group, Inc.loading…
loading…
QTick signal
-2net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 5 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 33/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$40.35
basis · pivot low + s1 + put wall · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$44.86
center $44.86 · basis · bb upper + call wall + high 52w + round · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.90
4.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.66×
52-week range$28.81 – $44.94
Below high since 2015-88.7% · $357.87 high
Risk / reward1.47 : 1
Plan stop$37.63
Max pain$42.50 options cluster
RSI 1444.6 fires under 35 · fires near $38.07
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple8.9× fwd · 14.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past37th pctile · 15.8× median
Free cash flow yield10.8% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 0.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 53% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
44.6
fires under 35 · fires near $38.07
vs 50-day
✓
$40.24
at the line
Bollinger
●
$39.90
no lower pierce · fires near $39.71
VWAP 20
✓
$42.24
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$40.35
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$42.50
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.41
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.66×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
4.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$1.36
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-03
in 27 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.20
ex-date 2026-10-05