Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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MNRpeers & supply-chain relationships

MNR fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.56M · 3-mo avg 715.9K

Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR)

MNRMach Natural Resources LPloading…
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QTick signal
-1net
1 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 2 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 100/100 · was 4 on Nov 3 · Nov 60/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
$8.96
near the 52-week low and a support level · Nov 6
$11.00
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $11.00 · Nov 6
±$1.04
±11.6% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Elevated
88% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume194% above normal2.94× its 20-day average
Past year's range$9.00 – $15.02lowest to highest price
From its peak57.5% belowpeak $21.19, highest since 2023
Gain vs. risk2.73 to 1$2.73 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$8.27the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$12.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)17.4oversold
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit6.7× next year15.0× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 63%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 9.7×
Cash it generates15.6%of its market value, per year

Last session traded heavier than its own normal, price down 9.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 76% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
17.4
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$11.03
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$9.64
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$10.43
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$8.96
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.09
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
2.94×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
1.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.34
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-05
reported last session · reaction session open
Next dividend
20.00% yld
no ex-date on file