Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 1:17 PM ETVol 1.77M · 3-mo avg 3.80M

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY)

MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+13net
5 bull / 0 bear factors · strong
Bull 13 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 38/100 · Nov 9
$22.56
near a support level · Nov 9
$25–26
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $25.32 · Nov 9
±$2.05
±9.0% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
85% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.1× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume111% above normal2.11× its 20-day average
Past year's range$21.07 – $32.76lowest to highest price
From its peak30.8% belowpeak $32.76, highest since 2017
Gain vs. risk1.12 to 1$1.12 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$20.77the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)31.8washed out
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit7.3× next year10.1× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 34%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 12.4×
Cash it generates6.1%of its market value, per year

Last session traded heavier than its own normal. Over the last 20 sessions, 55% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
31.8
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$25.36
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$22.92
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$24.90
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
●
$22.56
level below · fires near $22.77
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.09
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
2.11×
heavier than its own normal
Short int.Static
14.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.89
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2027-02-10
in 62 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.17
ex-date 2026-11-10