Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 4.09M · 3-mo avg 4.70M

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY)

MGYMagnolia Oil & Gas Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+11net
4 bull / 0 bear factors · strong
Bull 12 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 47/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$24.62
basis · pivot low + s1 + put wall · as of 2026-09-24 · price is 2.1% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$25.96
center $25.96 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-24
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.25
5.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.02×
52-week range$21.07 – $32.76
Below high since 2017-24.5% · $32.76 high
Risk / reward0.64 : 1
Plan stop$22.52
Max pain$25.00 options cluster
RSI 1439.0 fires under 35 · fires near $23.13
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple7.8× fwd · 11.3× trailing
P/E vs its own past97th pctile · 12.4× median
Free cash flow yield5.9% · of market value

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 2.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 60% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
39.0
fires under 35 · fires near $23.13
vs 50-day
✓
$26.11
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$24.23
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$26.65
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$24.62
below the model level
Put wall
✓
$25.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-23
MACD
Context●
-0.16
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.02×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
13.7%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.95
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
2.74% yld
no ex-date on file