Moelis & Company (MC) — Capital Markets. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 520.1K · 3-mo avg 853.6K

Moelis & Company (MC)

MCMoelis & Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 3 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 40/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$58.45
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$65–66
center $65.32 · basis · sma 200 + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 10% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.08× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 10% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.66×
52-week range$51.06 – $78.22
Below high since 2015-29.1% · $82.89 high
Risk / reward1.40 : 1
Plan stop$54.04
Max pain—
RSI 1435.0 washed out
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple14.9× fwd · 20.4× trailing
P/E vs its own past50th pctile · 24.4× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 1.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 69% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 5 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
35.0
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$65.60
below the line
Bollinger
●
$55.13
no lower pierce · fires near $54.16
VWAP 20
✓
$62.91
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$58.45
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.79
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.66×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
7.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.20
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
4.43% yld
no ex-date on file