Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) — Education & Training Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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LOPEpeers & supply-chain relationships

LOPE fair-value estimate

LOPE earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 321.6K · 3-mo avg 340.7K

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE)

LOPEGrand Canyon Education, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 1 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 41/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$146.54
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$159–161
center $159.58 · basis · call wall + round + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$6.17
4.2% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.93×
52-week range$134.27 – $223.04
Below high since 2015-34.0% · $223.04 high
Risk / reward1.31 : 1
Plan stop$137.88
Max pain$145.00 options cluster
RSI 1444.2 fires under 35 · fires near $140.71
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple13.0× fwd · 17.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past30th pctile · 18.9× median
Free cash flow yield6.2% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.6%. Over the last 20 sessions, 60% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
44.2
fires under 35 · fires near $140.71
vs 50-day
✓
$148.10
at the line
Bollinger
●
$147.24
no lower pierce · fires near $147.21
VWAP 20
✓
$151.18
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$146.54
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$140.00
2026-10-16 expiry · chain of 2026-09-25
MACD
Context●
-0.54
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.93×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
8.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$4.15
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
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