TAL Education Group (TAL) — Education & Training Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.28M · 3-mo avg 4.67M

TAL Education Group (TAL)

TALTAL Education Grouploading…
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QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$11.94
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$13.37
center $13.37 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 84% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (5/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.48×
52-week range$8.88 – $13.37
Below high since 2015-88.3% · $102.69 high
Risk / reward1.58 : 1
Plan stop$11.13
Max pain—
RSI 1454.0 fires under 35 · fires near $10.62
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple10.2× fwd · 7.5× trailing
P/E vs its own past5th pctile · 65.1× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 1.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 48% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
54.0
fires under 35 · fires near $10.62
vs 50-day
●
$11.64
above the line · fires near $11.75
Bollinger
●
$11.42
no lower pierce · fires near $11.34
VWAP 20
●
$11.89
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $11.88
Entry level
✓
$11.94
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.01
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.48×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
16.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.34
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
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