New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (EDU) — Education & Training Services. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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EDUpeers & supply-chain relationships

EDU fair-value estimate

EDU earnings history

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 885.1K · 3-mo avg 752.8K

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (EDU)

EDUNew Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 2 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 33/100 · Nov 9
$53.34
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 9
$56–57
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $56.10 · Nov 9
±$3.93
±7.3% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 5% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (3/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 5% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume7% below normal0.93× its 20-day average
Past year's range$44.25 – $64.97lowest to highest price
From its peak75.5% belowpeak $218.88, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.53 to 1$0.53 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$48.95the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$55.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)45.7fires under 35 · fires near $48.35
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit10.8× next year16.8× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 8%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 23.4×
Cash it generates7.9%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.5%. Over the last 20 sessions, 64% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
45.7
fires under 35 · fires near $48.35
vs 50-day
✓
$56.26
below the line
Bollinger
●
$47.21
no lower pierce · fires near $45.77
VWAP 20
✓
$55.04
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$53.34
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.94
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.93×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.5%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.19
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-27
in 53 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.50
ex-date 2026-11-18