Lemonade, Inc. (LMND) — Property & Casualty Insurance. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.11M · 3-mo avg 1.34M

Lemonade, Inc. (LMND)

LMNDLemonade, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+1net
2 bull / 1 bear factors · balanced
Bull 4 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileRiskFalling knife · 91/100 · was 10 on Sep 21 · as of 2026-09-250/6Bottom watch · 0 of 6 confirmations
Smart entry
$44.71
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$52–53
center $52.60 · basis · sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$3.36
7.5% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
Elevated
1.12× the norm · 89% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: falling knife
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.09×
52-week range$43.28 – $99.90
Below high since 2020-76.4% · $190.33 high
Risk / reward1.71 : 1
Plan stop$40.43
Max pain$49.50 options cluster
RSI 1433.1 washed out
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiplen.m. — no profit expected
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Price / book6.52×

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 0.8%. Over the last 20 sessions, 68% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
33.1
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$52.90
below the line
Bollinger
●
$43.85
no lower pierce · fires near $43.52
VWAP 20
✓
$49.13
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$44.71
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$46.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.36
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
1.09×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
15.3%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.14
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-04
in 28 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file