Li Auto Inc. (LI) — Auto Manufacturers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.29M · 3-mo avg 3.31M

Li Auto Inc. (LI)

LILi Auto Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
-6net
0 bull / 3 bear factors · moderate
Bull 0 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 38/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$11.44
basis · low 52w + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$12–13
center $12.41 · basis · bb upper + round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$1.03
8.9% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.79×
52-week range$11.43 – $27.10
Below high since 2020-76.0% · $47.86 high
Risk / reward1.00 : 1
Plan stop$10.59
Max pain$12.00 options cluster
RSI 1440.8 fires under 35 · fires near $10.97
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple20.7× fwd · trailing n.m.
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield-114.0% · burning cash

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 2.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 44% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
●
40.8
fires under 35 · fires near $10.97
vs 50-day
✓
$12.37
below the line
Bollinger
●
$11.42
no lower pierce · fires near $11.38
VWAP 20
✓
$11.95
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$11.44
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$10.50
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.02
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.79×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.42
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-25
in 43 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file