Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 15.49M · 3-mo avg 13.61M

Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS)

KOSKosmos Energy Ltd.loading…
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QTick signal
-7net
0 bull / 2 bear factors · moderate
Bull 0 pts·Bear 7 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 100/100 · was 38 on Nov 3 · Nov 61/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
$2.10
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$2.70
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $2.70 · Nov 6
±$0.19
±9.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 22% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Elevated
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 22% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume6% below normal0.94× its 20-day average
Past year's range$0.84 – $3.34lowest to highest price
From its peak79.7% belowpeak $10.42, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk1.69 to 1$1.69 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$1.76the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$2.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)32.1washed out
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit6.4× next yearloss over the last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastusual P/E 12.2×median of the last 5 years
Cash it generates-14.4%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 4.1%. Over the last 20 sessions, 66% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

6 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
32.1
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$2.71
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$2.22
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$2.62
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$2.10
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$2.50
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context●
-0.07
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.94×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
6.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.20
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-03-01
in 76 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file