Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) — Aluminum Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

KALUpeers & supply-chain relationships

KALU earnings history

Qtick
Sign in
Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 220.0K · 3-mo avg 290.1K

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU)

KALUKaiser Aluminum Corporationloading…
loading…
QTick signal
+7net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 10 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
loading…
Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 57/100 · Nov 6
$106.31
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$118–122
near a heavy call-option level · midpoint $120.00 · Nov 6
±$85.59
±80.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume51% below normal0.49× its 20-day average
Past year's range$88.00 – $199.89lowest to highest price
From its peak46.6% belowpeak $199.89, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.75 to 1$0.75 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$89.21the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$115.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)32.0washed out
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit9.8× next year8.3× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 0%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 24.3×
Cash it generates-1.5%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price up 3.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 66% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
32.0
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$143.38
below the line
Bollinger
●
$90.69
no lower pierce · fires near $86.41
VWAP 20
✓
$119.44
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$106.31
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$90.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context●
-1.42
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.49×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
6.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$9.29
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-17
in 68 sessions · session not on file
Next dividend
2.88% yld
no ex-date on file