Century Aluminum Company (CENX) — Aluminum Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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CENXpeers & supply-chain relationships

CENX fair-value estimate

CENX earnings history

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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 17, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.47M · 3-mo avg 2.07M

Century Aluminum Company (CENX)

CENXCentury Aluminum Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+2net
3 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 5 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · GreyPCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 38/100 · as of 2026-09-17
Smart entry
$40.55
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17
Target exit zone
$45–46
center $45.46 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
±$4.21
10.3% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Death cross
50d below 200d · bearish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.94×
52-week range$25.40 – $70.43
Below high since 2015-42.1% · $70.43 high
Risk / reward1.00 : 1
Plan stop$36.06
Max pain$45.00 options cluster
RSI 1436.3 fires under 35 · fires near $40.41
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple3.4× fwd · 7.0× trailing
P/E vs its own past49th pctile · 12.2× median
Free cash flow yield2.1% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 2.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
36.3
fires under 35 · fires near $40.41
vs 50-day
$45.32
below the line
Bollinger
$39.52
no lower pierce · fires near $39.09
VWAP 20
$44.58
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$40.55
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$43.00
2026-09-18 expiry · chain of 2026-09-16
MACD
Context
-0.68
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.94×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
14.8%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.24
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-11-05
in 35 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file