Constellium SE (CSTM) — Aluminum Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

CSTMpeers & supply-chain relationships

CSTM fair-value estimate

CSTM earnings history

Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Sep 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 382.3K · 3-mo avg 1.64M

Constellium SE (CSTM)

CSTMConstellium SEloading…
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QTick signal
+5net
2 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 5 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market contextSector read · not on fileBalance sheet · not on filePCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 8/100 · as of 2026-09-18
Smart entry
$26.06
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-17 · price is 2.4% inside the zone below it
Target exit zone
$27.02
center $27.02 · basis · daily pivot + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-17
Implied move · 1 wk
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 9% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.07× the norm · 85% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral · capped: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 9% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.16×
52-week range$14.39 – $36.99
Below high since 2015-29.2% · $36.99 high
Risk / reward0.49 : 1
Plan stop$24.10
Max pain
RSI 1443.1 fires under 35 · fires near $23.50
Forensic flags2 review
Earnings multiple9.5× fwd · 6.8× trailing
P/E vs its own past30th pctile · 13.9× median
Price / booknot on file

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 2.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 45% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
43.1
fires under 35 · fires near $23.50
vs 50-day
$28.00
below the line
Bollinger
$25.42
no lower pierce · fires near $25.42
VWAP 20
$26.63
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
$26.06
below the model level
Put wall
not on file
MACD
Context
+0.01
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
1.16×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
5.6%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.98
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
2026-10-28
in 29 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file