HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 437.8K · 3-mo avg 576.1K

HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK)

HPKHighPeak Energy, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
2 bull / 2 bear factors · balanced
Bull 3 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · Distress—Inflation-report days · not on fileRiskFalling sharply · sharp-drop risk 100/100 · was 0 on Nov 4 · Nov 61/6Bottom watch · 1 of 6 confirmations
$7.10
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$8.98
near the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $8.98 · Nov 6
±$1.44
±20.2% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 20% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Elevated
95% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day, but price is 20% below the 50-day average — the uptrend is damaged
Trading volume38% below normal0.62× its 20-day average
Past year's range$3.85 – $12.03lowest to highest price
From its peak82.1% belowpeak $39.91, highest since 2018
Gain vs. risk1.50 to 1$1.50 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$5.91the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$7.50price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)29.9oversold
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit54.9× next yearloss over the last 12 months
Cash it generates-1.2%it used more cash than it made

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price unchanged. Over the last 20 sessions, 55% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

5 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
✓
29.9
oversold
vs 50-day
✓
$8.89
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$7.20
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$10.09
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$7.10
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.53
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.62×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
34.2%
34.2% of float short — crowded
ATRStatic
$0.73
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-11-09
in 1 session
Next dividend
1.12% yld
no ex-date on file