Haleon plc (HLN) — Specialty & Generic Pharma. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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HLN fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 17.10M · 3-mo avg 17.82M

Haleon plc (HLN)

HLNHaleon plcloading…
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QTick signal
+4net
1 bull / 0 bear factors · leaning
Bull 4 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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$9.01
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 10
$9.24
near a resistance level and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $9.24 · Nov 10
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume25% below normal0.75× its 20-day average
Past year's range$8.38 – $11.28lowest to highest price
From its peak20.7% belowpeak $11.42, highest since 2022
Gain vs. risk0.26 to 1$0.26 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$8.38the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)43.5fires under 35 · fires near $8.44
Accounting warning signs1worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit15.0× next year18.5× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 11%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 26.8×
Cash it generates5.6%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.0%. Over the last 20 sessions, 46% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
43.5
fires under 35 · fires near $8.44
vs 50-day
✓
$9.39
below the line
Bollinger
●
$8.35
no lower pierce · fires near $8.17
VWAP 20
✓
$9.36
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$9.01
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
-0.07
below zero · rising toward the flip
RVolStatic
0.75×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.32
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-24
in 71 sessions
Next dividend
2.21% yld
no ex-date on file
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