Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK) — Specialty & Generic Pharma. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 10, 2026 · 12:45 PM ETVol 1.29M · 3-mo avg 2.60M

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TAK)

TAKTakeda Pharmaceutical Company Limitedloading…
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QTick signal
-4net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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$20.98
near a support level · Nov 9
$21.73
near the top of its usual range and the 52-week high · midpoint $21.73 · Nov 9
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
67% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume18% below normal0.82× its 20-day average
Past year's range$13.78 – $21.73lowest to highest price
From its peak32.8% belowpeak $31.39, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.79 to 1$0.79 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$20.05the setup is broken under this price
Momentum (RSI)69.3fires under 35 · fires near $17.52
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit298.4× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 100%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 33.6×
Cash it generates942.5%of its market value, per year

Trading in line with its own normal, price down 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 44% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
69.3
fires under 35 · fires near $17.52
vs 50-day
●
$19.18
above the line · fires near $19.33
Bollinger
●
$18.81
no lower pierce · fires near $18.54
VWAP 20
●
$20.21
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $20.20
Entry level
✓
$20.98
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.01
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.82×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.2%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.47
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-01-28
in 53 sessions
Next dividend
2.97% yld
no ex-date on file