Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TKPHF) — Specialty & Generic Pharma. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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TKPHFpeers & supply-chain relationships

TKPHF fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.0K · 3-mo avg 10.3K

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TKPHF)

TKPHFTakeda Pharmaceutical Company Limitedloading…
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QTick signal
-4net
0 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 0 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on fileCautionPCE inflation days · ~26% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 23/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$34.45
basis · pivot low + sma 200 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$38–39
center $38.49 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
High
1.33× the norm · 88% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.00×
52-week range$26.33 – $39.20
Below high since 2023-5.6% · $39.20 high
Risk / reward0.38 : 1
Plan stop$33.06
Max pain—
RSI 1454.9 fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
Forensic flags0 clean
Earnings multiple45.7× fwd · trailing not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield1,060.9% · of market value

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price unchanged. Over the last 20 sessions, 97% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

Bearish tape — sell
RSI 14
●
54.9
fires under 35 · fires below the slider range
vs 50-day
●
$35.36
above the line · fires near $35.68
Bollinger
●
$33.66
no lower pierce · fires near $33.15
VWAP 20
●
$36.92
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $36.90
Entry level
●
$34.45
level below · fires near $34.77
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context✓
+0.04
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.00×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
—
not on file
ATRStatic
$0.46
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-10-29
in 24 sessions
Next dividend
3.51% yld
no ex-date on file
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (TKPHF) Stock Price & Signals · QTick