AMTD Digital Inc. (HKD) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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HKD fair-value estimate

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 12:00 AM ETVol 102.3K · 3-mo avg 116.5K

AMTD Digital Inc. (HKD)

HKDAMTD Digital Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
0net
0 bull / 0 bear factors · balanced
Bull 0 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on file—Balance sheet · not on file—PCE inflation days · not on fileOKNeutral tape · 0/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$1.67
basis · pivot low + s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$5.47
center $5.47 · basis · high 52w · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
—
not on file
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Pullback risk
Low
0.73× the norm · 58% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure
Volume vs its own 20-session average1.12×
52-week range$1.26 – $5.47
Below high since 2022-99.9% · $2,555.30 high
Risk / reward31.15 : 1
Plan stop$1.56
Max pain—
RSI 1447.6 fires under 35 · fires near $1.56
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple9.3× trailing · forward not on file
P/E vs its own past21st pctile · 11.8× median
Price / booknot on file

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price down 1.2%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 5 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
47.6
fires under 35 · fires near $1.56
vs 50-day
✓
$1.68
at the line
Bollinger
●
$1.67
no lower pierce · fires near $1.66
VWAP 20
✓
$1.70
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$1.67
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
—
not on file
MACD
Context●
0.00
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
1.12×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
2.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.06
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 3 of 5 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-09-24
reported today · reaction session open
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file