Guidewire Software, Inc. (GWRE) — Application Software. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 9, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 716.5K · 3-mo avg 1.31M

Guidewire Software, Inc. (GWRE)

GWREGuidewire Software, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 4/100 · Nov 9
$160.04
near a support level and the 200-day average · Nov 9
$161–165
near a resistance level, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $163.22 · Nov 9
±$0.18
±0.1% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
82% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.2× the usual rate · rating eased: at bottom zone (2/6 bottoming checks met)
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume35% below normal0.65× its 20-day average
Past year's range$102.30 – $229.85lowest to highest price
From its peak41.0% belowpeak $272.60, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.14 to 1$0.14 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$143.39the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$160.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)45.0fires under 35 · fires near $141.24
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit98.7× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 43%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 136.5×
Cash it generates2.1%of its market value, per year

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 0.4%. Over the last 20 sessions, 62% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

3 of 6 aligned — closing in
RSI 14
●
45.0
fires under 35 · fires near $141.24
vs 50-day
✓
$163.35
below the line
Bollinger
●
$151.89
no lower pierce · fires near $149.31
VWAP 20
✓
$171.74
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$160.04
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$115.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-09
MACD
Context●
-1.76
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.65×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
5.1%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.64
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2026-12-03
in 17 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file