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Markets / GT
GT
NasdaqGSneutralOPERATING CO.judged on execution & valuationFalling knife

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company ·

$6.03
▼-0.41 (-6.37%)
Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET
Mkt cap$1.74B
P/E · fwd-0.8 · 11.0
Div yieldNone
Beta 1y0.90
Volume13.32M1.35× avg
52-wk range -43.2%5.4311
The five reads
At a glance the decision-relevant reads, first
GLOBAL TAPE
Overseas lean-0.69%
ZurichGT0.00%⏱
StockholmGT0.00%⏱
FrankfurtGTR+0.92%⏱
MéxicoGT*0.00%⏱
London0QLL-4.34%⏱
Track record · free & ungated
We grade our price-band calls in public

Each forward price band is logged the day it's set and scored when it resolves — misses included. 5 bands have resolved so far — not yet enough for a hit-rate that would mean anything, so none is shown. This builds in the open, not behind the paywall.

15
bands logged
5
resolved so far
Building
status
The calibration ledger stays free, always — a track record can't sit behind a paywall.

Price action

Price & quote

Live quote refreshed every 15 minutes against the full daily snapshot.

The readUnder pressurefact

Where the price sits inside today's range and its 52-week range, plus how it's performed over time. This is the raw quote — the same number everywhere, just faster.

◆ Death cross◇ Ascending channel50-day sits below the 200-day — bearish long-term structure.
0.23.05.88.611.4Ascending channelGolden crossDeath crossS · 6S · 6S · 6R · 6R · 7R · 7max pain 1
Drag or arrow-key the chart for daily OHLCV · 126 sessions through Aug 10, 2026 · prev close $6.44 (dashed)
Open
$6.42
Prev close
$6.44
Volume
13.32M
avg 9.85M
Rel. volume
1.35×
above normal
Market cap
$1.74B
Shares out
287.44M
float 256.30M
Day range
$6.02$6.41
52-week range
$5.43$10.62
-43.2% from high+11.0% above low

The QTick signal

QTick proprietary signal

A transparent point tally — bull evidence minus bear evidence — read over ~30 days. Faster factors time the swing; slower ones (quality, 13F, forensics) weigh in as longer-horizon context. A model-based prior, not advice.

~30-day swing read · graded vs S&Puncalibrated prior · track record buildingstrength is the tally magnitude, not a probability
Price-factor lean cohort-relative · momentum + low-vol
Price-factor lean — not shown at this market cap (these factors carry no validated edge above small-cap).
Where this is validated: survivorship-free factor study (micro/small caps only), |t|>3.2. Cohort-relative ranking, not a price forecast or buy/sell advice. Calibration tracked live.
0
net · balanced
2 bull / 2 bear factors
Factor breakdown 8 factors · signed points sum to net 0
Analyst moves90d+1 pts
1 price-target raise(s) in 90d
Earnings4 quarters+2 pts
latest EPS beat by 8%
Insider flow120d—
Estimate revisionsWeeks—
Sentiment1–30d-1 pts
7d sentiment depressed (25/100)
Longer-horizon context weighs the read · not a 30-day timing call
Institutional (13F)Latest 13F—
Quality / valueTTM-2 pts
Altman-Z in the distress zone
Filing forensicsLatest FY—
filing forensics — recurring "one-time" restructuring charges (demoted — settled NULL/wrong-signed, not scored (QTICK_FORMULA_AUDIT_2026_07.md))
Risk flagsDaily—
Net tally
0
3 bull − 3 bear
Factors agreeing
2↑ 2↓
of 9 tracked
Read strength
balanced
30d horizon
Strongest factor
Earnings
+2 pts
Model
QTick Engine
GT track record
Building
5 of 15 resolved
Forensic flags filing red flags · backtested edge where shown
Revenue-timing languagerevenue-recognition timing language worth watching
Territory — competitor / supplier graph
ORLYPeer-1.4%
AZOPeer-1.9%
MGAPeer+1.6%
GPCPeer-0.8%
AURPeer-1.1%

Where the reads agree

Cross-category read

A decorrelated view across the categories already scored elsewhere on this page — where they agree, where they conflict, and how lopsided the split is. Not a new signal, a different angle on ones that already exist.

Category reads n=5 categories voting
Streetleans up
Eventleans up
Qualityleans down
Trendleans down
Riskleans down n=4
2 lean up, 3 lean down — modal read: bear.
Where they conflict
Event leans up while Quality leans down.
Event leans up while Trend leans down.
Street leans up while Quality leans down.
2 of 5 weighted reads lean the other way — minority weight share 40%.
Named patterns
Tape is deteriorating with risk flags lit.partial descriptive — a pattern in the current reads, not a validated signal
Cheap, but low-quality and credit-stressed.partial descriptive — a pattern in the current reads, not a validated signal
Tape turning up while fundamentals/credit are still stressed.partial descriptive — a pattern in the current reads, not a validated signal
Quality, positioning and the street agree.partial descriptive — a pattern in the current reads, not a validated signal
Crowded ownership and street love at a rich valuation.partial descriptive — a pattern in the current reads, not a validated signal
High quality, solvent and trending.partial descriptive — a pattern in the current reads, not a validated signal
Trend, crowded short positioning and option fuel.partial descriptive — a pattern in the current reads, not a validated signal
Trend that is heavily rate/macro-driven.partial descriptive — a pattern in the current reads, not a validated signal
↳ In detail
A pattern, not a validated signal
This regroups categories the page already scores elsewhere into one cross-category view — it does not add a new tally. Descriptive only — a decorrelated read of where the evidence agrees and conflicts, not a forecast and not advice. Patterns are condition lists, not outcome predictions, and are not yet validated to the proof bar.
0 net
balanced
2 bull / 2 bear factors

Red-Flag X-Ray

Accounting quality · red-flag scan

One integrity score (0–100) from a set of accounting checks that look for red flags. Higher is safer — and we show the checks it passed, not just the ones it failed.

50
/ 100
Integrity score
D
1 critical · 3 watch · 1 clear of 5 scored tests
1 clear3 watch1 critical
Test battery
✕✓!!!
5 forensic tests · 1 passed clean · 3 flagged for watch
✕Critical
Bankruptcy distressZ 1.42
Altman-Z in the Distress
✓Clear
Earnings manipulationM -3.33
Likely clean
!Watch
LeverageD/E 1.57
debt-to-equity 1.57×
!Watch
Profitability qualityF 6/9
Piotroski F-score 6 of 9
!Watch
Filing forensics1 flag(s)
1 filing red flag(s) on the latest 10-K
How we test · 7 forensic testsA clear result ships as openly as a flag — and the tests that don't fire are published in full. No survivorship bias.
Share dilution / SBC creepFires when shares outstanding rise materially or stock-based comp outpaces buybacks.
Distress (Altman-Z, negative equity)Fires on balance-sheet fragility. For banks we substitute regulatory capital (CET1).
Margin trajectoryFires on multi-quarter gross / operating margin erosion.
Going-concern languageNLP scan of filings for material-doubt or going-concern wording.
Filing timelinessFires on late / NT (non-timely) filings and restatements.
Insider selling into strengthFires on discretionary insider sells during price strength; 10b5-1 plans down-weighted.
Analyst-downgrade momentumFires on clusters of net downgrades and target cuts.

Odds & pullback risk

Setup & odds

Which way the next move is more likely to go — and how overstretched the price looks right now.

The readSkews downsidewhere it sitsuncalibrated prior · not a forecast

How the likely upside compares with the downside, and how stretched the price is — odds, not timing.

Upside vs downside · 12m
Upside 44%55.3% Downside
Skew favours downside · base rate 50/50
Historically, names tripping 2 validated red flags finished lower 12 months later in 55% of cases (n=4,204) — a survivor-biased floor, not a forecast. · n=4,204
Expected move · 1wk±—
Upside target$6.28 +4.1% · level, not a call
Invalidation / stop$5.90 -2.2% · level, not a call
Reward : risk1.9 : 1
BullClose above $6 opens continuation.
BaseChop between stop and target into the next catalyst.
BearA break of $6 invalidates the setup.
Pullback risk · experimental
LowElevatedHigh
Historically, mid names in this tape state saw a ≥10% pullback within 63 trading days in 85% of cases (n=11,772).
1.08×the segment norm — 85% saw a ≥10% pullback within 63dn=11,772 · observational
Resolved up vs down · 63d51% up · 49% down same historical group as the pullback read · 11,772 cases · flat outcomes count on neither side — a historical rate, not a call
Conditioned onneutral · mid vol · neg momentum the past setups matched against this one
  • 1.08× the mid unconditional rate
  • price is at the modeled bottom zone (0/6 bottoming checks met) — risk word capped at In line
  • tape state: neutral
  • price 2.9σ from its 20-day mean
↳ In detail
How to read the odds
This is a historical rate, and an experimental one: across 25 years, stocks in the same state — same segment, same price phase, same volatility, same momentum — pulled back this often. The record is built from today's list of companies, so names that delisted along the way are missing and each stock's current segment is projected backward; the rates lean toward survivors until that rebuild lands. Compare the multiple against the segment rather than the bare percentage — recent years run higher than the full 25-year record. None of it predicts timing.
The structure under the price
Support band$5.43 – $6.00 -0.5% from spot · level, not a call
s1$5.90 basis
pivot low$5.86 basis
pivot low$5.61 basis
~68%of bands like this held 21 days after a touch — about the same as any comparable support level. Structure, not a prediction.n=40,800 · observational
Bottom confirmation0 of 6 signs in find-bottom score 0/100 — pinned to 0 until the checklist clears
Capitulation flush, then quietnot yet
Selling volume dried upnot yet
A higher low printednot yet
Back above the 20-day linenot yet
Momentum diverging upnot yet
Heaviest volume on an up daynot yet
85%of confirmed bottoming reads still saw a ≥10% drawdown inside the next quarter (25-year study) — confirmation marks a turn forming, not safety.n=1,203 · observational

Trend & technical structure

Trend & technicals

The price chart's vital signs, in plain English. Expand any row for what it actually means for you.

The readDowntrendwhere it sitsmoving-average posture · fact

Moving averages describe the direction; RSI and the bands describe how stretched the move is. Neither predicts the next one.

Average prices (the trend)
Price vs 200-day-19.8%
Momentum, bands & levels
↳ In detail
The simple version
When price sits aboveits averages with momentum rising, the trend is healthy. When RSI is near the extremes or the price looks "stretched," the move is overdone and often takes a breather. Think of these as a weather report — conditions, not instructions.
Pattern outcomes · derived analysis

Do these patterns even work?

Derived · what patterns actually did

Every charting site detects the pattern. We publish what happened next — the forward win-rate and sample size at each horizon, including the famous patterns that historically meant nothing.

The readForward win-rates, with sample sizewhere it sits

How often each chart pattern was actually followed by a gain, and how many past cases that's based on — including famous ones that didn't work.

Each bar is the win-rate — how often the price was higher that many days after the pattern appeared. The line marks 50%, a coin flip: green beats it, red is worse than chance. Every bar is a platform-wide cohort base rateacross every stock that has shown this pattern (cohort record, not this ticker's own history alone).
Pattern10-day21-day63-day
UptrendBelow a coin flip
forward win-rate46.8%n=1,101,779
forward win-rate47.0%n=519,085
forward win-rate47.7%n=164,813
slope +0.12 over 40 bars
Three black crowsBelow a coin flip
forward win-rate50.4%n=304,805
forward win-rate49.9%n=143,406
forward win-rate49.2%n=45,155
three falling red bars
Double topBarely beats chance
forward win-rate49.6%n=1,183,531
forward win-rate50.7%n=556,186
forward win-rate52.2%n=176,667
two peaks ≈ equal — reversal if neckline breaks
Head and shouldersBarely beats chance
forward win-rate49.4%n=487,217
forward win-rate50.6%n=229,190
forward win-rate51.4%n=72,812
head above two ≈-equal shoulders — bearish reversal
Ascending triangleBarely beats chance
forward win-rate50.1%n=628,840
forward win-rate51.2%n=294,972
forward win-rate53.1%n=93,557
flat resistance, rising support
Snapshot as of 2026-08-11
↳ In detail
Why we show you the losers
Famous reversal signals like a bullish engulfing have historically closed higher less than half the time at short horizons — below a coin flip. We publish the win-rate and the sample size on every cohort, so a 42-case base rate never masquerades as an 8,500-case one. Objective base rates, not forecasts.

Momentum & performance

Momentum / performance

Trailing returns and relative strength versus the benchmark.

The readLaggardwhere it sitsRS percentile vs market

How the stock has returned, and whether it's beating the market. A strong run shows recent leadership — leadership reverses without warning.

Trailing returns
1-month-9.2%
3-month+1.3%
6-month-42.7%
Year-to-date-32.4%
1-year-27.9%
12-1 momentum-33.6%
Relative strength vs S&P 500
34.8
RS-rank
percentile vs market
laggingleading
Relative strength line (β-adj)-12.44
↳ In detail
What relative strength tells you
A rank of 34.8 means GT has outpaced 34.8% of the market over the past year. That is what it has done, not a promise about what comes next — leadership can reverse without warning.

Risk profile

Risk

Volatility and sensitivity, regressed against SPY from adjusted bars — then the landmine check: what could actually go wrong here.

The readLow drawdown riskwhere it sitsvs the ADV-Q5 mega segment base rate · observational

Beta is how much it moves with the market; volatility and the worst drop show how rough the ride has been. Historical context, not a position-size rule.

6.5%6-month large-drawdown risk vs 9.3% for its segment
Low drawdown riskNames like this hit a large drawdown within 6 months at 0.7× the rate of the ADV-Q5 mega segment — observational, never a sell.
Beta · 1-year
0.90
less sensitive
Beta · 3-year
1.11
Realized vol · 30d
48.5%
annualized
Max drawdown · 1y
-47.1%
The drawdown read · 6-month, segment-graded
Where it sits0.7×
LowHigh
vs the ADV-Q5 mega segment base rate · observational
6.5%6-month large-drawdown risk, vs 9.3% for its segment
Max drawdown, trailing year-0.47 driver
Distance from 52-week high-0.43 driver
Parkinson range volatility0.39 driver
Log price (level)1.80 driver
Observational 6-month large-drawdown risk ranking — not a forecast, not alpha. Historical distress rate for this ADV-Q5 mega segment: 9.3%. This name reads 0.7× that base rate.
Tape state & tail · nightly, adjusted bars
Neutral tape40/100
SettledKnifing
State: neutral — No dominant short-horizon pressure in the tape.
Selling pressure65 elevated
−12.9%a 1-in-200 day for this name — 1.6× what a normal curve expects · fat tail
↳ In detail
Reading risk
A beta of 0.90 means that, historically, a 1% move in the S&P has come with a ~0.90% move here. Realized vol ran 49% and the largest drawdown observed in the trailing year was 47% — both are what happened, not a bound on what can. The drawdown band above is observational — a risk sort against names of the same segment, blind to balance-sheet failures that never showed in the price.

Failure modes

Coverage
Data not available — failure modes are routed per company type, and only the bank and crypto-treasury rulebooks are validated so far (this name routes as growth)
Macro sensitivity · derived analysis

How rates push this name

Derived · rates & regime

The 10-year yield is public. Its measured pull on this specific stock — and how it trades around the macro calendar — is the derived layer.

The readFalls with rateswhere it sitshow it moved when rates moved · extremes trimmed

How much this stock actually moves when interest rates move, and how it behaves around big economic releases.

Sensitivity to 10Y yield
Per +1% in the 10Y yield-30.1%
−120+12
Rates are a Falls with rates for this name
Observations495 rolling window
Fit · r²n/a
Measured across 495 daily moves against the 10-year Treasury yield (FRED DGS10). Where the company-level link is weak or the sample is short, we fall back to the sector average rather than print a number we don't trust.
Behaviour around the macro calendar
CPI · vs a typical dayn=00.0×
FOMC · vs a typical dayn=00.0×
NFP · vs a typical dayn=00.0×
PCE · vs a typical dayn=00.0×
× = how much more this stock moves on each release day vs a normal day. Amber = outsized (≥1.4×). Context, not a directional call.
Volatility regime
The volatility engine runs on market-wide risk channels, not on individual names, so there is no 1-year volatility percentile for this symbol. The realized-volatility and drawdown reads in the risk section are the per-name measures.

Valuation

Valuation

Is the stock cheap or expensive? Each multiple is graded and explained in plain English.

The readLeans cheapwhere it sitsagainst its own 5-year range where we have it · standard bands otherwise

Price against earnings, sales, book value and cash flow. We mark the measures that don't apply rather than fake them.

What you pay for earnings
P/E (trailing)Price ÷ last 12 months of profit; graded vs own 5y history when covered-0.8×n.m.
Forward P/EPrice ÷ next year's expected profit11.0×Cheap
PEG ratioValuation set against expected growth — lower can look cheaper, but one cutoff is not a verdictn/an/a
Earnings yieldProfit as a % of price, like a bond yield-120.48%n.m.
Earnings yield − risk-freeEarnings yield minus the government-bond yield at the same daten/an/a
Dividend yieldAnnual indicated cash dividend as a % of price0.00%Income
What you pay for the business
Price / SalesPrice ÷ annual revenue; graded vs own 5y history when covered0.1×Cheap
Price / BookPrice ÷ net assets on the books0.54×Cheap
EV / EBITDAWhole-company value ÷ operating cash earnings6.0×Cheap
EV / FCFWhole-company value ÷ positive free cash flown/an/a
Price / FCFPrice ÷ free cash flow generated-57.9×n.m.
FCF yieldFree cash flow as a % of market value-1.73%n.m.
P/E vs own 5yFive-year median 13.1×n/an.m.
P/S vs own 5yFive-year median 0.2×1th pctCheap
Peers today territory performance, for valuation context
ORLYPeer-1.4%
AZOPeer-1.9%
MGAPeer+1.6%
GPCPeer-0.8%
AURPeer-1.1%

Fundamentals & quality

Fundamentals / quality

How good is the underlying business? Scale, profitability and balance-sheet strength, graded.

The readReturns below capital costwhere it sitsreturn on capital vs its estimated cost of funding

Scale, profitability and balance sheet, with industrial return on capital compared directly with its estimated funding cost.

Scale & growth
Revenue · TTMTotal sales over the last 12 months$17.91BScale
EPS · TTMProfit earned per share$-7.25Profit
Net marginCents of profit kept per $1 of sales-9.4%Weak
Revenue growthSales vs a year ago-3.2%Weak
EPS growthProfit-per-share vs a year ago-2,595.8%Weak
Margin trajectoryAre profit margins widening or shrinking?n/an/a
Returns & balance sheet
ROEProfit generated on shareholders' equity-53.2%Weak
ROICAfter-tax operating profit earned on the capital the business uses4.6%Weak
WACCEstimated blended cost of debt and equity7.4%Hurdle
ROIC − WACCReturn on capital above or below its funding cost-2.8%Weak
Incremental ROIC · ~3yWhat the last three years of new investment has actually earnedn/an/a
Gross / Op marginProfitability before & after operating costs18% / 4%Weak
Free cash flowCash left after running & investing$-30.00MWeak
Cash self-fundingSelf-funding on trailing free cash flow, or months of cash left at the current burnRunway: 69 moCash
Debt / EquityGross borrowings vs equity — negative book equity is not gradeable2.24Weak
Current ratioCan it cover near-term bills? Over 1.5 is healthy1.06OK
Total assets · YoYBalance-sheet growth — a fact, not a signal · grew faster than 18% of the measured cross-section · as of 2026-08-09-13.0%Fact
Last filed 2026-08-11

Inventory ledger

The stockroom
Data not available.

Segments & geography

Where the revenue lives
Data not available.
Credit & safety · derived analysis

Distance from insolvency

Derived · distance from default

Not the debt total — how far this company's asset value could fall before its debts get hard to cover, and how that distance ranks against its peers.

The readDistressedwhere it sitspercentile vs solvency universe

How far the company sits from real financial distress, plus how it ranks against peers — more than a debt total tells you.

94.21%12-month survival read
In 3,110 historical observations of names in this distance-to-default bucket (small-cap), 180 went bankrupt or were delisted within 12 months — 5.79%.
measured against past bankruptcies and delistings · tested on later years (AUC 0.90) · a historical rate, not a credit rating
-1.05
σ to default
5.79%model-implied probability of default
Filing-forensics flags
1/4
SafeGreyDistress
Model-implied, not a credit rating.It estimates how far the company's assets would have to fall before it couldn't cover its debts, using a standard model (Merton). Higher is safer. (risk-free rate n/a, one-year horizon, asset volatility from —)
Structural snapshot as of 2026-08-11
Distance-to-default band
distress · 0cautionsafe8σ+
Debt-service capacity
Interest coveragen/a operating income / absolute interest expense
Long-term debt / assets29.8% as filed; distinct from Merton D/V
↳ In detail
How to read these two ratios
The credit engine uses the same stored thresholds shown here: coverage at or below 1× cannot cover interest, while 8× or more is its comfortable band; long-term debt at 10% of assets or less is its light band, while 60% or more is its heavy band. Missing XBRL tags stay n/a.
Altman solvency
Altman Z-Score1.4 Distress
↳ In detail
Why a percentile, not a number
The absolute Z-Score is shown whenever its filing inputs exist. The cross-sectional percentile is a separate field and stays n/a until a current universe rank is on file.
Forensic accounting
1Validated forensic-accounting flag fired. Individual flag details are not carried by this endpoint.
Dilution radar · derived analysis

Are your shares being diluted?

Derived · ownership erosion

Raw share count is everywhere. The consequence — how fast the count is growing and where that ranks against peers — is the read that matters.

The read—where it sitsdilution percentile vs peers

How fast the share count is changing versus peers, with stock compensation, issuance and repurchases shown separately when covered.

5-year share-count CAGR
The CAGR needs annual filings roughly five years apart that both carry a share count. This name's filing history on file does not span that window, so no rate is published — the buyback and stock-comp rows below are measured independently and still hold.
Most-dilutive percentile vs peers
LeastMedianMost
0percentile100
Peer percentile24th below median
Stock comp / revenuen/a not covered
Stock comp / OCFoperating cash flown/a not covered
Gross buyback yield0.00% TTM repurchases / market value
Net buyback yield+0.32% TTM repurchases minus issuance / market value
Diluted / basic share gap0.0% latest fiscal-year per-share overhang proxy
SBC trendn/a up to five fiscal years
Shares outstanding · indexed 5y
Indexing needs an unbroken run of annual share counts across the same five-year window the CAGR uses. Where a year is missing — or the reported counts switch share class mid-series — the chart is withheld rather than drawn across the gap.

Analyst & estimates

Analyst & estimates

Consensus, price targets, forward estimates, and the company's recent results versus consensus.

The read—where it sitswhere Wall Street sits · not QTick

Targets matter less than which way estimates are heading and how often the company beats them.

Consensus rating
Hold
24 analysts · score n/a/5
Strong buy 10%Buy 20%Hold 60%Sell 10%Strong sell 0%
12-month price target
low $6.00now $6.03high $10.00
Mean target$7.00 (+16.1%)
Forward estimates & revisions
Forward EPS consensus—
Revision breadth · 30d—
Revision momentumCut 13.1% · 30d
Beat-rate · 8q—
The consensus EPS level, the share of analysts raising, and the realised beat-rate all come from the same estimate capture, which does not cover this name. The rating, target band and street moves above are from a separate source and are current.
EPS surprise history
No reported-vs-estimate pairs on file for this name
Recent rating changes
Street moves · last 90 days
↑target $10JP Morganfirm credibility 45/10007 Aug
Earnings bias · derived analysis

How this name behaves into the print

Earnings habit

The street's consensus-surprise habit — whether estimates run conservative or aggressive against what the company reports, not management's own guidance — the beat streak graded against names with the same profile, and what the tape does on good news.

The readMixed habitwhere it sitsvalidated base rates · graded out-of-time

Whether the street sandbags this name, how often a beat streak like this persists (with its sample size), and what the tape does with good news.

65%of names with this beat profile beat againn=41,449 · observational
Consensus habit · trailing 8 quarters
Consensus-surprise habitnot management guidancebeats most quarters, by thin margins n=8
Trailing beat rate63% beat 5–6 of the last 8 · n=8
65%of names that beat 5–6 of the last 8 went on to beat again — 1.04× the segment average (cohort record since 2000, not this stock alone)n=41,449 · observational
survivor-tilted universe (currently-listed names; large-cap-skewed coverage)
What the tape does with it
25%of the time it beat the estimate but fell anywayn=12 · observational
0%of the time it missed the estimate but rose anywayn=12 · observational
Avg reaction on a beat+1.0% n=8
Avg reaction on a miss-11.8% n=4
Earnings-day move · typical±13.0% p90 ±16.4% · worst ±17.4% (2023-08-02) · n=12
Implied vs realized move— insufficient options history
↳ In detail
How to read the habit
This is a historical rate: among companies with the same recent beat record, that share beat again. It was checked on later periods than the ones it learned from, and against the plain long-run average. It describes the group, not this specific report.

Ownership & positioning

Ownership

Who holds it, how options lean, and the most recent insider, congressional and 13F transactions.

The read—where it sitspositioning band · not a vote

Who owns it and what insiders and big funds are doing. Steady buying reads positive; heavy selling reads cautious.

Holders
Institutional92.7%
Insider4.0%
Institutional flow—
Fund concentration—
Activist stakeNone on file
Insider & short
Insider 90d net—
10b5-1 vs discretionaryscheduledMostly programmatic
Short interest · %float17.3%
Short interest · 30d Δ—
Options positioning
Put/call · OI—
Put/call · volume—
Implied movenext exp.±9.2%
IV skew (25Δ)+120.4% put-skewed
↳ In detail
Reading the positioning
Institutional flow data unavailable. The options market shows put-skewed IV — leaning defensive.
Recent transactions Form 4 + congressional
FilerSourceActionValueDate
DEAKIN SCOTT MInterim EVP & CFOInsiderSell006 Jul
DEAKIN SCOTT MInterim EVP & CFOInsiderSell006 Jul
Gray NicoleSenior VP & Chief HR OfficerInsiderSell002 Jul
Gray NicoleSenior VP & Chief HR OfficerInsiderSell1473502 Jul
Gray NicoleSenior VP & Chief HR OfficerInsiderSell002 Jul
13F filers · last quarter

Institutional flow

Coverage
Data not available.

Options microstructure

Options microstructure

Computed over the stored full chain — where dealer hedging concentrates. Prices here are the chain snapshot's own, not the header quote.

The readHedging leans steadyingwhere it sitswhere options exposure sits

The busiest option strikes are where hedging is concentrated, which can slow or sharpen a move nearby. Context — not support and resistance.

Open-interest by strike · gamma walls
Puts OI (k)Calls OI (k)
0
20
0
0
15
0
0
14
0
0
13
0
0
12
0
0
11
0
0
10
0
0
9
0
0
8
0
0
7
0
0
6
0
0
5
0
0
4
0
0
3
0
0
2
0
WALL0
1
0WALL
chain spot $5.96 max pain $1 (-83.2%)
Dealer regime & expected move
Gamma exposure (GEX)
Positive
long
Max pain$1.00 (-83.2%)
Put/call · OI—
Call wall$1.00 resistance
Put wall$1.00 support
Expected move · session±5.2%
Expected move · week±11.7%
Gamma map · derived analysis

Where dealer hedging concentrates

Derived · dealer hedging · marquee

Open interest is free everywhere. What it does — whether dealer hedging dampens or amplifies a 1% move, and the strikes where that hedging concentrates — is the derived read.

The readHedging may steady moveswhere it sitswhere dealer hedging sits

Whether dealer hedging leans toward steadying the price or sharpening the next move, and the strikes where that hedging is concentrated.

Support / resistance rails
call wall · resistance$8
spot$5.96
put wall · support$6
Dealer regime
Long gamma — hedging can steady moves
Net dealer gamma+$151,778 per 1% move
ATM implied vol0.7%
Expected move · 1d±5.2%
Expected move · 1w±11.7%
OTM IV skew (25Δ)+120.4% put-skewed
↳ In detail
Reading the gamma map
Dealers are long gamma, so they lean against moves — price gets pinned between support at $6.00 and resistance at $8.00 into expiry. Net gamma of +$151,778 is the dollar hedging effect per 1% move — the consequence a raw chain never tells you.
From QTickOur track recordEvery call we've resolved, misses included →

Peers & supply chain

Territory · peers & supply chain

The names in this stock's orbit — how each is trading today, and how they wire together as suppliers, customers and competitors.

The readLagging groupfact

How nearby companies are trading. Moving with them is a sector story; breaking away is specific to this stock.

TickerRelationshipTodayRelative move
GTThis stock-6.37%
ORLYPeer-1.39%
AZOPeer-1.90%
MGAPeer+1.56%
GPCPeer-0.80%
AURPeer-1.13%
↳ In detail
Lagging its peers
GT is -5.6% behind the peer average (-0.73%). Divergence from the group is where the stock-specific signal lives.
Supply map how the territory wires together
No mapped supplier, customer or competitor links for GT yet.

Customer momentum

The customer chain
Data not available.

News & market context

The Story · news & social

Coverage published around the move, with the crowd's mood shown next to each.

The readCrowd mixedfactread as contrarian context

What moved the stock, plus how bullish the crowd is — which tends to be loudest right at the turning points.

Latest headlines 0▲ 0▼ of 48
News
GT fell −6.37% in the premarket session, amid recent coverage: “3 Industrials Stocks Walking a Fine Line” (StockStory).
Why it moved-6.37%·2026-08-11·source
Neutral
3 Industrials Stocks Walking a Fine Line
NEWSStockStory·20h ago
Neutral
GT Q2 Deep Dive: Margin Pressure and Portfolio Shifts Amidst Challenging Market Conditions
NEWSStockStory·Mon
Neutral
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp (GT) stock price, news, quote and history - Yahoo Finance UK
NEWSYahoo Finance UK·Sat
Neutral
Goodyear Tire & Rubber (NASDAQ:GT) Upgraded by Wall Street Zen to "Sell" Rating - MarketBeat
NEWSMarketBeat·Sat
Headline tone
50/100 · 7-day
+6 pts vs prior
Polarity of the headlines themselves, scored 0-100 with 50 neutral — a read on the coverage, not on the crowd.
Social sentiment
No Reddit or StockTwits posts on file for this name in the last 7 days.

What this name did from here

Time machine

Each look-back point: the price then, the move to today, and what was going on — earnings, corporate events, news flow.

The readLower than a year agofact

The price at each look-back point and the move to today, with what was happening at the time — the per-ticker face of the track record.

Look-backs · vs the $6.03 close of 2026-08-10
3 months ago$6.51 -7.4% to today
6 months ago$9.10 -33.7% to today
1 year ago$8.36 -27.9% to today
3 years ago$13.10 -54.0% to today
history starts 2023-06-01
↳ In detail
Why we show the rear-view mirror
Every number on this page gets graded by what happens next. The time machine is the same idea pointed backwards: the state of this name at each past date and the move that followed, for any symbol — not a curated highlight reel.
Risk case · derived analysis

The risk case

The case against

What can break: how hard this name has fallen before, a sensible position cap, whether it behaves like a lottery ticket, how much cash it has left, how it drifts after earnings, whether the dividend holds, and what changed in the filings — plus a crowding read when its three inputs agree.

The readCoverage incompletewhere it sitsan experimental model estimate · the history-based reads below are graded separately

The case against the stock: how hard it has fallen before, how much cash it has left, how it behaves after earnings, whether the dividend holds, what changed in the filings, and how crowded the trade is.

Avoid score · v2.1 isotonic model · experimental
The nightly batch has not scored this name yet — the model needs universe-wide ranking features that are not computed on demand.
Terminal fate · the cohort's ledger
Of 4640 small names tracked 2016-2026, 4.7% were delisted for cause within 24 months and 9.2% were acquired — historical frequencies for the cohort, not a forecast for this name.
Cohortsmall 2016-2026
12m outcomesfor-cause 1.8% [1.6%–2.0%] acquired 4.8% [4.5%–5.1%] · still listed 93.2% · n=4857
24m outcomesfor-cause 4.7% [4.2%–5.1%] acquired 9.2% [8.6%–9.8%] · still listed 85.5% · n=4640
36m outcomesfor-cause 7.0% [6.4%–7.6%] acquired 13.4% [12.5%–14.3%] · still listed 78.8% · n=4480
↳ In detail
Reading the fate ledger
Each row is what happened to every tracked name in this size cohort over that window — delisted for cause, acquired, or still listed — with the band around each rate. These are the cohort's historical frequencies, not probabilities for this name, and the acquisition arm is never an acquisition forecast.
Deep-drawdown recovery record
32.8%of small names 50% or more below their prior high reclaimed it within 3 years, counting the delisted as never-recovered — an upper bound, since still-open episodes are excludedn=3,141 · observational
Names this size that fell 50% took a median 348 trading days to reclaim their prior high — and only 32.8% did within 3 years once the delisted are counted (a survivor-only screen would claim 47.2%).
This name's drawdown-59.8% crossed the −50% bucket · vs the trailing 3y high
Survivor-only view47.2% the illusion gap is 14.4% — what dropping the delisted flatters the odds by
Median recovery348 trading days among the names that did recover
Max defensible position size
2.2%max defensible size 2.2% - tail bindsn=92,785 · observational
Segmentmid routing cohort
Vol tercilemid realized vol bucket
Momentum signneg trailing return direction
Half-Kelly27.2% Kelly criterion / 2
Tail cap2.2% VaR / CVaR limit
Cat cap54.6% catastrophe-rate limit
Binding constrainttail
Lottery profile
No lottery signal — trailing-21d max daily return is within the normal range for its cohort (mid).
Cash runway · burn-rate graded
Cash runway106.8q quarters at current burn rate
About 106.8 quarters of cash at current burn - names in this bucket: 16.3% catastrophe rate within a year.
16.3%catastrophe rate within 12m for burners with >8q runwayn=62,863 · observational
Median 12m forward-1.1% median outcome for this runway bucket — not mean
Cash on hand$801.00M latest reported
Annual FCF$-30.00M trailing 12-month free cash flow
Post-earnings drift · reaction vs sigma
+2.44% spread63-trading-day post-earnings drift, graded by reaction magnitude (bucket: 1-2)
Drift odds at full strength (+2.44% / 63-day spread reference from measured post-earnings drift).
Latest earnings reaction-3.1% 2026-05-06
Daily sigma (21d)3.06% baseline volatility used for z-score
Reaction size1-2 first-day move ÷ its normal daily move
Strength of evidence5.75 Newey–West t — how consistent the pattern is, not how many cases
↳ In detail
How post-earnings drift works
After an earnings reaction, how far price keeps drifting over the next 63 trading days depends on how big the first move was. A jump more than four times the stock's normal daily move usually spends the effect — the market has already repriced it. Milder reactions historically kept drifting, by about 3.2 percentage points in our sample.
Dividend reliability
No dividend on file — trap / covered classification does not apply.
Filing restatements · trailing 2 years
Restatements on file1 latest: 2024-12-31
Filings here were later materially revised. Historically, flagged quarters restated at 34.0% vs 5.5% unflagged (6.2x).
34.0%restatement rate for flagged quarters — reference sample count not stored
Unflagged rate5.5% baseline for quarters without restatements
Relative rate6.2× flagged vs unflagged quarters
↳ In detail
What a restatement means here
A restatement means a filing was later materially revised — not necessarily fraud, but a signal the original numbers were unreliable. Historically, quarters flagged here were restated at 34.0% vs 5.5% — 6.2× the unflagged rate.

Calibration scorecard

Auditable track record

Every rating we publish is fingerprinted, tracked, and resolved in public. Here's how we've actually done.

15
calls logged
track record builds as calls resolve (5/8)
Resolved
5
resolved, below the publication threshold
Open calls
10
tracked, unresolved
GT track record
building
published once resolved