Ford Motor Company (F) — Auto Manufacturers. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

How we compute this

Fpeers & supply-chain relationships

F fair-value estimate

F earnings history

Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Sep 25, 2026 · 4:04 PM ETVol 35.04M · 3-mo avg 48.65M

Ford Motor Company (F)

FFord Motor Companyloading…
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QTick signal
+8net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · moderate
Bull 12 pts·Bear 4 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileRiskBalance sheet · DistressCautionPCE inflation days · ~9% bigger swingsOKNeutral tape · 49/100 · as of 2026-09-25
Smart entry
$12.65
basis · s1 · as of 2026-09-25
Target exit zone
$13.96
center $13.96 · basis · round + sma 50 + vwap 50 · as of 2026-09-25
Implied move · 1 wk
±$0.73
5.7% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 9% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Pullback risk
In line
1.04× the norm · 69% saw a ≥10% dip · 63d · tape state: neutral
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · but price is 9% below the 50-day — structure damaged
Volume vs its own 20-session average0.72×
52-week range$11.11 – $17.78
Below high since 2015-51.3% · $26.11 high
Risk / reward1.32 : 1
Plan stop$11.77
Max pain$13.00 options cluster
RSI 1435.7 fires under 35 · fires near $12.67
Forensic flags1 review
Earnings multiple6.5× fwd · trailing not on file
P/E vs its own pastnot on file
Free cash flow yield24.6% · of market value

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 65% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

4 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
●
35.7
fires under 35 · fires near $12.67
vs 50-day
✓
$13.93
below the line
Bollinger
●
$12.55
no lower pierce · fires near $12.50
VWAP 20
✓
$13.61
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$12.65
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$13.00
2026-09-25 expiry · chain of 2026-09-21
MACD
Context●
-0.11
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.72×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
0.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$0.44
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2026-10-22
in 19 sessions
Next dividend
4.72% yld
no ex-date on file