Exelixis, Inc. (EXEL) — Biotechnology. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.00M · 3-mo avg 2.36M

Exelixis, Inc. (EXEL)

EXELExelixis, Inc.loading…
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QTick signal
+7net
4 bull / 0 bear factors · moderate
Bull 7 pts·Bear 0 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · Safe—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 0/100 · Nov 6
$69.22
near a support level · Nov 6
$73–74
near the top of its usual range and the 52-week high · midpoint $73.69 · Nov 6
±$4.98
±7.2% up or down, priced by the options market
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
In line
67% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Golden cross
50-day average is above the 200-day — an uptrend
Trading volume27% below normal0.73× its 20-day average
Past year's range$39.71 – $73.69lowest to highest price
From its peak5.6% belowpeak $73.69, highest since 2015
Gain vs. risk0.82 to 1$0.82 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$64.52the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$60.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)66.0fires under 35 · fires near $56.53
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit16.3× next year20.8× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 48%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 21.1×
Cash it generates5.0%of its market value, per year

Last session traded in line with its own normal, price up 1.3%. Over the last 20 sessions, 32% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
●
66.0
fires under 35 · fires near $56.53
vs 50-day
●
$60.92
above the line · fires near $61.33
Bollinger
●
$58.14
no lower pierce · fires near $56.77
VWAP 20
●
$66.38
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $66.37
Entry level
✓
$69.22
within 1% of model level
Put wall
●
$48.00
2026-11-20 expiry · chain of 2026-11-06
MACD
Context✓
+0.32
histogram above zero · fading
RVolStatic
0.73×
in line with its own normal
Short int.Static
13.4%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.35
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case→
Next earnings
2027-02-09
in 63 sessions
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
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