Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD) — $206.97 +0.89%. Numbers-first dossier covering valuation, distress risk, and calibrated signal.

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Qtick
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Bid × AskUpdated Aug 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 1.80M · Avg 2.61M
RVMDRevolution Medicines, Inc.$206.97+0.89%

WAIT.

Not a dip-buy setup — the evidence leans bearish.

The net signal reads -4 — more evidence points down than up, so buying this dip is catching a falling stock, not finding value. 1 of 6 usable entry checks are active; the rule needs 4. Move the price to stress-test the setup at another level.

QTick signal
-4net
2 bull / 3 bear factors · leaning
Bull 2 pts·Bear 6 pts30d
1 of 6 aligned — not yet
Waiting on the timing triggers to fire.
Market contextSector read · not on fileOKBalance sheet · SafeCautionHigh PCE sensitivity · 1.2× · n=38OKNot a falling knife
Smart entry
$205.94
basis · s1 · as of 2026-08-11
Target exit
at new highs
Implied move · 1 wk
±$16.04
7.8% · options-priced
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure · stretched above 50-day · mean-reversion risk
Pullback risk
In line
~83% odds of a ≥10% dip · 63d · 1.3× base rate
Chart pattern
Golden cross
50d above 200d · bullish structure · stretched above 50-day · mean-reversion risk
Volume vs 20-day avg0.69× · 1.80M vs 2.61M avg
52-week range$34.14 – $208.76
Below high since 2020-0.9% · $208.76 high
Risk / reward
Plan stop$184.92
Max pain$170.00 options cluster
RSI 1468.2 fires under 35 · fires near $153.71
Forensic flags1 review
What-if price
$206.97
$153.04 · -26.1%-26.1%move the price to stress-test the setupdrag to test another price+7.8% · $223.01+7.8%
Entry strategy · 10 triggers1 of 6 aligned — not yet
RSI 14
68.2
fires under 35 · fires near $153.71
vs 50-day
$176.91
above the line · fires near $177.98
Bollinger
$173.39
no lower pierce · fires near $172.25
VWAP 20
$188.05
above the rolling VWAP · fires near $187.76
Entry level
$205.94
within 1% of model level
Put wall
$170.00
OI strike below · fires near $170.56
MACD
+1.35
histogram above zero · rising
RVolStatic
0.69×
below the 1.5× context threshold
Short int.Static
7.0%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$7.95
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, relative volume and short interest are context only — they never count toward the total.
See the full case
Next earnings
4 Nov 2026
· in 85 days
Next dividend
No indicated yield
no forward dividend on file
prices 15-min delayed