Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) — Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Numbers-first dossier: valuation, distress risk, calibrated signal.

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EXEpeers & supply-chain relationships

EXE fair-value estimate

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Qtick
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Bid — × — AskUpdated Nov 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM ETVol 2.22M · 3-mo avg 3.14M

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE)

EXEExpand Energy Corporationloading…
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QTick signal
+3net
3 bull / 1 bear factors · leaning
Bull 6 pts·Bear 3 pts30d
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Market context—Sector read · not on fileCautionBalance sheet · Grey—Inflation-report days · not on fileOKCalm trading · sharp-drop risk 33/100 · Nov 6
$84.18
near a recent low and a support level · Nov 6
$90–91
near the options pressure point, a round-number price, the 50-day average and the 50-day average trade price · midpoint $90.75 · Nov 6
±$4.81
±5.7% up or down, priced by the options market
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
In line
68% of similar setups fell 10% or more within 3 months · 1.0× the usual rate
Death cross
50-day average is below the 200-day — a downtrend
Trading volume38% below normal0.62× its 20-day average
Past year's range$83.25 – $126.62lowest to highest price
From its peak33.2% belowpeak $126.62, highest since 2021
Gain vs. risk1.03 to 1$1.03 possible gain per $1 at risk
Plan fails below$78.66the setup is broken under this price
Options pressure point$91.00price can drift here near expiry
Momentum (RSI)31.3washed out
Accounting warning signs2worth checking — see the list
Price vs. profit10.4× next year7.3× last 12 months
Price vs. its own pastpricier than 42%of the last 5 years · usual P/E 7.8×
Cash it generates8.1%of its market value, per year

Last session traded lighter than its own normal, price down 0.9%. Over the last 20 sessions, 51% of the volume traded on days the stock closed lower.

Entry strategy · 10 triggers

6 of 6 aligned — STRIKE
RSI 14
✓
31.3
washed out
vs 50-day
✓
$91.05
below the line
Bollinger
✓
$85.58
lower-band pierce
VWAP 20
✓
$91.17
below the rolling VWAP
Entry level
✓
$84.18
within 1% of model level
Put wall
✓
$90.00
2026-11-06 expiry · chain of 2026-11-04
MACD
Context●
-0.85
below zero · still falling
RVolStatic
0.62×
lighter than its own normal
Short int.Static
4.9%
short interest below 20%
ATRStatic
$2.76
14-session average true range
A checklist, not odds on a return: 4 of 6 usable price conditions have to line up. RSI, the 50-day average and the Bollinger band move with the price you set; the 20-day average traded price, the entry level and the busiest put strike stay fixed. MACD, RVol, Short int. and ATR are context only — they never count toward the total.
Next earnings
2027-02-16
in 67 sessions
Next dividend
USD 0.57
ex-date 2026-11-12